NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	116		Excitement	8.1 [250]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +27.2%
Boston Celtics	111		Comeback	3.1 [510]		LVP	Brian Scalabrine (BOS): -7.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27	0.15	0.14	0.02	16	72%	0.37	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.04
Boris Diaw	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.15	0.01	8	87%	0.26	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	5	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.05,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	7	56%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.11	0.02	8	72%	0.19	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	71%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Raja Bell	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	52%	0.10	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	84%	0.18	6	-0.20	3	100%	0.02
Marcus Banks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.10	0.01	12	64%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.03	9	32%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.13	-0.08	0.03	24	61%	0.10	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	35%	0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.06	-0.00	11	36%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	17	49%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	30.5	16.6	23.8	2.0	31.3	134.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +94.6%

PHX +1.1%

BOS -10.6%

BOS -31.3%

BOS -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	13.2	15.9	15.4	117.2	112.1	104.5
season	13.8	15.5		112.2	101.7
opponent	15.3	16.0		105.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	11.2	13.4	15.2	13.2
BOS	15.6	15.9	15.4	16.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	75	74	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.50	8	-3	11	12.8	14.3	-1.56	15.1	18.4	-3.29
Boris Diaw	78	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	-3	11	13.3	12.7	0.55	16.0	15.6	0.38
Amar'e Stoudemire	50	51	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.55	-1	6	-7	13.2	13.1	0.02	14.7	17.2	-2.50
Raja Bell	75	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-3	11	13.1	13.2	-0.07	15.3	18.0	-2.66
Steve Nash	78	78	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	0	5	12.9	14.0	-1.02	15.4	18.1	-2.74
Marcus Banks	10	12	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	4	-3	12.8	13.2	-0.39	19.9	15.4	4.53
James Jones	37	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	2	1	13.0	13.3	-0.29	17.8	14.9	2.93
Leandro Barbosa	43	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.13	-7	12	-19	13.9	12.6	1.29	17.0	15.2	1.89
Kurt Thomas	49	48	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.15	0	5	-5	13.5	12.8	0.63	17.0	14.9	2.06

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	56	56	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.10	2	-7	9	14.9	17.2	-2.29	12.6	13.9	-1.38
Gerald Green	34	35	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.04	1	-6	7	17.1	15.4	1.70	12.5	13.5	-1.07
Leon Powe	17	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-5	5	18.4	15.4	2.98	11.6	13.5	-1.89
Rajon Rondo	25	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	19.0	14.9	4.04	14.0	12.9	1.12
Brian Scalabrine	51	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	3	-11	17.6	14.2	3.44	13.1	13.2	-0.06
Al Jefferson	48	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-5	5	14.3	17.5	-3.12	13.4	12.9	0.59
Sebastian Telfair	65	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	14.7	18.3	-3.59	13.2	13.1	0.13
Paul Pierce	82	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.46	-1	-4	3	15.1	19.8	-4.69	13.0	14.0	-1.04
Ryan Gomes	70	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	1	-7	15.6	16.7	-1.11	14.1	11.0	3.09
Delonte West	47	47	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.48	-5	0	-5	17.2	14.8	2.46	13.1	13.2	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.24,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, LAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.39,0.29,0.03,0,0	92.2%
POR 111, NOP 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.39,0.22,0.23,0,0	92.2%
ATL 89, OKC 85	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.45,0.28,0.22,0.05,0	91.6%