NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	3.8 [1047]		MVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): +12.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Comeback	1.0 [586]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CLE): -11.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.01	-0.05	23	61%	0.14	3	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	14	67%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	16	58%	0.08	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Jahidi White	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Maciej Lampe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	9	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	7	36%	-0.05	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	21	49%	-0.01	5	-0.10	9	78%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	21	42%	-0.05	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	30.2	15.7	29.1	1.8	28.0	132.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +63.4%

CLE -13.7%

CLE -10.6%

PHX +8.6%

PHX +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CLE	NBA	PHX	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	16.5	15.7	112.0	94.5	100.5
season	14.6	15.7		99.6	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.9		102.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	15.1	15.7	16.7	15.0
CLE	16.1	20.1	14.3	16.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	87	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.06	21	-4	25	15.1	13.2	1.88	16.4	18.0	-1.58
Antonio McDyess	68	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.19	24	-7	31	15.2	14.4	0.82	16.4	16.8	-0.43
Amar'e Stoudemire	86	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	0	17	15.0	14.5	0.51	16.4	18.0	-1.58
Shawn Marion	82	82	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	11	-5	15.1	14.0	1.10	16.0	20.9	-4.86
Leandro Barbosa	47	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	11	-5	14.5	15.5	-1.04	16.3	16.7	-0.43
Casey Jacobsen	51	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	8	1	15.1	14.8	0.27	16.8	16.2	0.59
Zarko Cabarkapa	9	9	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	8	1	14.9	15.0	-0.10	21.3	16.0	5.36
Jahidi White	14	12	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	19	-21	14.3	15.1	-0.82	19.8	16.0	3.83
Maciej Lampe	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	22	-27	14.5	15.1	-0.58	14.9	16.8	-1.90

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	18	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-16	15	17.6	16.2	1.38	15.0	15.0	0.03
DeSagana Diop	17	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-12	7	15.2	16.8	-1.63	16.5	14.7	1.86
Ira Newble	42	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-22	27	16.1	16.9	-0.76	15.1	14.9	0.22
Lee Nailon	14	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.12	-9	-8	-1	19.9	15.9	4.05	15.6	14.9	0.78
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	38	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-10	3	17.3	15.9	1.44	14.6	15.2	-0.58
Tony Battie	44	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.18	-1	-16	15	16.7	16.3	0.43	15.0	14.9	0.09
Eric Williams	46	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	1	-19	16.5	16.5	-0.01	15.1	14.8	0.31
LeBron James	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-5	-7	16.1	19.3	-3.15	14.7	16.7	-2.04
Jeff McInnis	73	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	-1	-15	16.2	17.6	-1.38	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	83	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.07	-21	4	-25	16.3	18.9	-2.60	14.8	16.5	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 109, TOR 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DAL 98, MEM 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MEM 105, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%