inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 105 Excitement3.2 [1153] MVPFrank Kaminsky (CHA): +15.6%
Charlotte Hornets 90 Comeback1.0 [516] LVPSpencer Hawes (CHA): -7.1%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.120,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.180.000.062167%0.131-0.014100%0.00
JaMychal Green0.070,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.100.000.03492%0.081-0.01580%0.00
James Ennis0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.00487%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Vince Carter0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03853%0.061-0.02367%-0.00
Marc Gasol0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.09-0.00-0.121445%0.115-0.081100%0.00
Andrew Harrison0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.01-0.02642%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.01960%0.031-0.01250%-0.01
Zach Randolph0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.010.021450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jarell Martin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Troy Daniels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Deyonta Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Troy Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.21-0.000.051192%0.171-0.02367%0.01
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.03861%0.041-0.02786%0.01
Roy Hibbert0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03217%0.0000.00250%0.00
Aaron Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00752%0.032-0.04743%-0.02
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.021547%-0.0100.00667%-0.01
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0010%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01740%-0.023-0.03683%0.01
Marvin Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.090.00-0.0360%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.010.031450%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.332.114.828.02.629.2134.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +42.0%
CHA -3.7%
MEM +6.5%
MEM +2.0%
MEM +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMCHANBAMEMCHANBA
this game17.115.314.8119.3100.0107.7
season16.115.1106.4107.9
opponent14.814.9107.9106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.813.818.519.917.1
CHA15.915.613.616.115.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley70710.55-0.050.60-0.0420-52516.619.2-2.6015.414.80.62
Tony Allen57560.470.030.44-0.1220-52517.117.10.0115.914.31.53
Marc Gasol63650.470.030.43-0.0618-32116.618.4-1.8115.614.41.16
JaMychal Green56590.420.080.330.031321116.817.6-0.7714.915.9-0.95
Vince Carter61640.300.200.090.15510-516.618.3-1.6714.916.3-1.39
James Ennis25230.210.29-0.07-0.11114716.417.4-0.9317.014.72.37
Zach Randolph39380.100.40-0.310.10015-1518.416.12.3014.715.7-1.03
Jarell Martin16160.020.48-0.460.05-116-1716.117.3-1.2715.615.20.42
Troy Daniels330.020.48-0.46-0.07312-919.317.02.3116.015.30.75
Deyonta Davis220.000.50-0.500.00015-1524.516.97.5723.015.17.90
Andrew Harrison4145-0.010.51-0.530.19-722-2918.515.92.5913.916.6-2.69
Troy Williams78-0.030.53-0.570.17-722-2920.116.83.3015.515.30.24

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Harrison550.00-0.500.50-0.031-161716.015.20.7622.816.86.04
Brian Roberts550.00-0.500.50-0.031-161716.015.20.7622.816.86.04
Ramon Sessions2724-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-3-12915.215.3-0.1316.417.4-1.00
Frank Kaminsky3437-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-4-11715.315.20.0718.616.02.67
Roy Hibbert1818-0.19-0.310.130.02-7-8115.715.20.5619.616.53.15
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist6259-0.23-0.270.03-0.17-2-131115.714.41.3416.418.6-2.26
Marco Belinelli5555-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.01-9-6-315.115.5-0.4317.915.82.01
Spencer Hawes7169-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.15-5-10515.415.00.3516.619.1-2.49
Marvin Williams5147-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-3-915.215.4-0.2315.419.0-3.64
Kemba Walker5859-0.38-0.12-0.260.00-13-2-1115.315.3-0.0516.917.5-0.57
Nicolas Batum6462-0.510.01-0.520.14-227-2914.816.4-1.6116.917.5-0.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 97, DET 830.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,096.3%
NOH 86, TOR 740.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%
DET 103, CHA 780.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%