NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	109		Excitement	3.9 [997]		MVP	Vin Baker (SEA): +16.2%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	1.0 [972]		LVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): -8.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.01	-0.02	20	69%	0.16	1	-0.00	11	64%	-0.03
Aaron Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	7	86%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	15	59%	0.09	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
David Wingate	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	8	35%	-0.02	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	15	65%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	13	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	12	42%	-0.00	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	22	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	24.6	15.4	25.5	2.6	26.5	122.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +43.3%

TOR -10.2%

SEA +8.0%

SEA +2.7%

SEA +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	TOR	NBA	SEA	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.6	119.8	98.9	102.5
season	15.3	15.5		109.3	98.7
opponent	14.8	16.2		108.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.9	14.1	17.3	15.5	14.9
TOR	15.8	18.6	16.2	15.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	79	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-2	21	14.9	14.9	-0.03	17.0	12.9	4.04
Detlef Schrempf	66	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	4	9	14.8	15.2	-0.37	16.8	15.2	1.55
Hersey Hawkins	60	63	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	1	15	12.9	18.8	-5.89	16.9	15.4	1.42
Jerome Kersey	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	6	5	16.2	13.0	3.20	16.7	15.9	0.79
Gary Payton	79	81	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	7	3	14.7	15.8	-1.09	15.6	22.0	-6.43
Greg Anthony	12	12	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	10	-3	15.8	14.7	1.09	22.0	15.6	6.43
Aaron Williams	32	34	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	12	-7	12.9	16.0	-3.11	15.4	17.0	-1.65
Dale Ellis	31	30	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.06	1	16	-15	18.8	12.9	5.89	15.4	16.9	-1.42
David Wingate	7	6	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.06	4	13	-9	5.9	15.6	-9.79	10.0	16.8	-6.84
Sam Perkins	36	37	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	18	-19	16.7	13.7	2.94	15.9	16.7	-0.75

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	35	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-24	31	16.1	16.6	-0.55	17.7	13.1	4.54
Reggie Slater	23	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-20	23	14.8	16.9	-2.15	18.0	13.8	4.28
John Wallace	53	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-14	11	15.4	17.7	-2.24	15.5	14.1	1.45
Carlos Rogers	12	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-10	3	22.0	15.6	6.43	15.8	14.7	1.09
Zan Tabak	24	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-8	-1	17.0	16.2	0.81	13.3	15.4	-2.07
Shawn Respert	20	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-7	-3	17.9	16.0	1.98	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Marcus Camby	70	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-1	-15	16.5	16.0	0.47	13.4	19.3	-5.97
Walt Williams	71	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.09	-16	-1	-15	16.2	17.0	-0.79	15.2	14.0	1.17
Doug Christie	81	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	0	-17	16.1	18.2	-2.13	14.2	19.7	-5.50
Damon Stoudamire	76	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.00	-17	0	-17	16.6	15.5	1.06	14.5	16.7	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, ORL 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0	96.4%
HOU 97, SAS 78	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
PHX 103, CLE 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%