NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	7.5 [302]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +45.0%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	6.0 [311]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -44.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.09	-0.02	13	46%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.06	0.04	-0.10	0.00	16	64%	0.14	3	-0.20	4	75%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	15	53%	0.03	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	10	48%	0.01	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.18	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	21	39%	-0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.17	0.28	-0.01	16	78%	0.50	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	0.00	5	80%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.14	-0.01	7	74%	0.21	2	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	58%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.13	0.01	14	59%	-0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44	-0.44	-0.25	-0.20	-0.00	18	30%	-0.32	4	-0.12	8	62%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.7	32.0	18.6	25.3	3.4	40.5	147.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.3%

SAC +0.8%

SAC +3.7%

SAC +15.5%

HOU -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	16.6	14.4	15.7	102.2	107.5	100.5
season	16.5	14.7		98.8	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.6		102.0	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.7	16.9	19.4	13.7	16.6
SAC	15.2	13.1	13.3	15.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	56	56	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.06	5	-10	15	16.8	16.3	0.52	15.4	12.8	2.56
Charles Oakley	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-5	5	11.7	16.8	-5.08	5.6	14.9	-9.25
Scott Padgett	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-5	5	9.7	17.1	-7.43	7.0	14.9	-7.86
Jim Jackson	84	85	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.30	9	-14	23	16.4	18.7	-2.27	14.3	14.7	-0.43
Mark Jackson	8	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	5	-15	19.2	16.4	2.89	12.2	14.6	-2.30
Eric Piatkowski	22	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	3	-11	18.3	16.1	2.23	14.7	14.2	0.46
Steve Francis	85	85	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.48	5	-10	15	16.4	19.2	-2.89	14.6	12.2	2.30
Maurice Taylor	73	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	2	-9	16.6	16.5	0.08	14.9	12.6	2.30
Clar. Weatherspoon	47	47	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.43	-8	3	-11	17.6	15.6	2.07	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Cuttino Mobley	80	80	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.38	-11	6	-17	16.4	18.1	-1.70	14.3	14.7	-0.39

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	63	64	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.56	9	-4	13	14.7	13.6	1.11	17.3	15.0	2.29
Mike Bibby	81	81	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-5	15	14.1	16.0	-1.89	16.8	15.7	1.09
Chris Webber	83	83	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.34	10	-5	15	14.3	15.2	-0.95	16.4	18.1	-1.67
Peja Stojakovic	88	88	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-4	13	14.2	17.6	-3.43	16.5	17.8	-1.25
Anthony Peeler	47	46	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	2	1	14.7	14.0	0.75	14.8	18.4	-3.62
Doug Christie	69	70	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.10	-7	12	-19	14.0	15.4	-1.43	17.1	15.0	2.14
Brad Miller	34	33	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.20	-9	14	-23	15.2	13.8	1.39	16.9	16.4	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.33,0.62,0.37,0.32,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 117, DAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.73,1	91.1%
DEN 100, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.34,0.69,0.64,0.23,0.58,1	91.0%
NJN 90, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.58,1	90.1%