inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 117 Excitement8.7 [156] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +51.8%
Dallas Mavericks 119 Comeback4.4 [300] LVPErick Dampier (DAL): -13.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Smith0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.130.170.001076%0.341-0.04560%-0.02
Carmelo Anthony0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.09,-0.02,0.080.15-0.050.022959%0.132-0.051182%0.04
Chauncey Billups0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.080.11-0.020.011271%0.262-0.1810100%0.07
Nene0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.040.07-0.01545%0.072-0.031050%-0.04
Linas Kleiza0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.05-0.01739%0.0400.00450%-0.03
Anthony Carter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00462%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.01850%-0.001-0.02475%0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.01425%-0.071-0.0100%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.24,0.49,0.520.520.180.360.022566%0.714-0.201794%0.17
Jason Kidd0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.040.01865%0.121-0.03475%0.01
Antoine Wright0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.07-0.00657%0.111-0.032100%0.02
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.040.01856%0.0600.0020%-0.06
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.09-0.020.01673%0.0500.003100%0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.000.00757%0.0400.00771%-0.01
James Singleton00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.06-0.011848%0.023-0.09887%0.04
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.0110%-0.025-0.1200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.63.642.519.732.33.843.5174.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +6.7%
DAL +24.8%
DAL +31.5%
DEN -11.0%
DEN -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game15.113.315.5114.7117.8106.4
season14.415.6109.5108.9
opponent15.415.7107.1105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.513.514.117.715.1
DAL13.912.213.513.613.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Linas Kleiza46430.42-0.921.33-0.0817-193614.615.5-0.8912.913.6-0.67
Dahntay Jones38380.17-0.670.840.054-61015.814.71.1913.413.20.16
Anthony Carter34340.12-0.620.740.091-3413.815.7-1.9112.813.5-0.76
Carmelo Anthony9191-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.480-2215.511.53.9813.313.10.19
J.R. Smith6159-0.590.09-0.67-0.47-42-614.715.7-1.0613.313.3-0.03
Nene9190-0.610.11-0.72-0.32-108-1815.015.7-0.7113.213.8-0.62
Chauncey Billups8382-0.730.23-0.96-0.59-53-814.915.8-0.8513.313.3-0.06
Kenyon Martin6668-0.800.30-1.09-0.42-1311-2415.813.91.9113.812.21.61

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Terry62640.75-0.250.990.4211-92014.111.92.2716.113.42.67
Jason Kidd85860.70-0.200.900.584-2613.114.0-0.8715.115.2-0.18
Dirk Nowitzki92910.65-0.150.790.389-71613.313.00.2915.511.93.57
Brandon Bass60610.54-0.040.580.453-1413.313.20.1213.817.0-3.14
Josh Howard74730.300.200.100.48-68-1413.213.3-0.0914.616.3-1.74
Jose Juan Barea36380.040.46-0.41-0.167-51212.913.5-0.5914.315.6-1.25
James Singleton45-0.080.58-0.660.15-810-186.013.6-7.5713.015.2-2.21
Erick Dampier4747-0.220.72-0.94-0.13-35-813.613.00.5316.314.12.26
Antoine Wright4646-0.220.72-0.940.07-1012-2212.713.8-1.0914.915.3-0.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 86, NJN 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.58,191.5%
IND 101, GSW 1060.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.44,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.45,0.74,191.4%
LAC 89, CHI 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.33,0.45,0.54,0.43,0.92,191.2%