NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	8.8 [138]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +37.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	13.8 [163]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (PHI): -35.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0.07,0.07,0.37	0.04	0.33	-0.01	7	81%	0.43	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Scott Burrell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.02	-0.04	9	83%	0.19	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	13	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jamie Feick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	17	55%	0.05	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	15	49%	-0.01	5	-0.16	5	100%	0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.38	0.38	0.10	0.29	0.01	28	62%	0.42	3	-0.04	10	100%	0.06
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.37	0.37	-0.05	0.42	-0.01	8	25%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	42%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	11	52%	-0.05	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	6	50%	0.02	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.03	12	32%	-0.08	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.36	-0.36	-0.13	-0.21	0.01	8	45%	-0.05	5	-0.31	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	29.4	15.7	25.3	2.3	31.5	129.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -6.3%

NJN -0.3%

PHI +59.3%

NJN -3.1%

PHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	14.0	15.2	94.7	96.8	101.7
season	15.5	15.0		102.1	99.5
opponent	15.5	14.7		98.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	16.8	15.5	18.8	16.3
PHI	13.4	15.3	11.7	16.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	51	52	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.13	5	-7	12	17.7	14.7	3.04	13.7	14.3	-0.59
Scott Burrell	40	39	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.32	16	-18	34	17.0	15.9	1.15	13.9	14.0	-0.14
Jamie Feick	27	28	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.09	8	-10	18	16.7	16.2	0.51	15.9	13.2	2.76
Kendall Gill	83	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-2	2	16.0	18.3	-2.29	13.2	19.3	-6.13
Kerry Kittles	81	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.48	-4	2	-6	16.4	16.0	0.40	13.9	14.1	-0.18
Jim McIlvaine	68	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	8	-18	16.2	16.7	-0.51	13.2	15.9	-2.76
Keith Van Horn	55	56	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.12	-18	16	-34	15.9	17.0	-1.15	14.0	13.9	0.14
Stephon Marbury	70	70	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.52	-7	5	-12	15.6	18.4	-2.85	15.1	10.8	4.37

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	78	79	1.01	-0.51	1.51	0.51	17	-15	32	13.9	14.1	-0.17	16.0	17.9	-1.85
Theo Ratliff	62	62	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.62	4	-2	6	14.6	12.9	1.69	15.7	17.5	-1.71
Allen Iverson	87	88	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-12	26	13.7	17.1	-3.44	16.7	12.1	4.53
Aaron McKie	51	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.50	-3	5	-8	14.5	13.4	1.02	17.1	15.5	1.65
George Lynch	88	87	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	-3	8	13.8	16.0	-2.18	16.8	11.6	5.15
Tyrone Hill	40	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	7	-12	14.1	13.9	0.21	14.6	17.6	-3.00
Matt Geiger	39	39	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.18	0	2	-2	13.0	14.7	-1.70	17.2	15.7	1.43
Larry Hughes	30	30	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.34	-22	24	-46	14.5	13.7	0.76	16.1	16.5	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.33,0.62,0.37,0.32,0.85,1	90.1%
BOS 115, PHI 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.57,0.58,1	90.0%
DEN 100, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.34,0.69,0.64,0.23,0.58,1	90.0%