NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	83		Excitement	5.2 [770]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (TOR): +10.8%
Toronto Raptors	77		Comeback	1.2 [464]		LVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): -17.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	66%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.09	0.01	9	55%	0.13	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	69%	0.12	4	-0.09	9	67%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	21	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.03	16	69%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Archibald	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	7	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	17	47%	0.02	5	-0.17	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.02	15	34%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	3.3	27.9	16.8	25.4	2.5	34.3	134.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.4%

IND +0.6%

IND +6.3%

IND +14.6%

IND +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	17.3	17.0	15.7	98.8	91.7	100.5
season	16.7	16.8		101.1	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.7		98.4	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.2	17.2	17.1	18.6	17.3
TOR	18.1	15.5	18.0	16.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	72	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	2	2	16.9	19.6	-2.71	17.2	16.2	0.97
Reggie Miller	60	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	3	0	17.4	17.0	0.43	17.2	16.6	0.58
Metta World Peace	76	77	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	4	-2	17.1	19.0	-1.92	16.9	18.7	-1.84
Jeff Foster	27	28	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	-4	14	17.1	17.4	-0.28	19.4	15.8	3.55
Anthony Johnson	36	36	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	1	4	18.0	16.7	1.29	17.4	16.7	0.69
Al Harrington	60	60	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	8	-10	17.2	17.4	-0.16	16.6	18.2	-1.60
Jamaal Tinsley	48	48	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	5	-4	16.7	18.0	-1.29	16.7	17.4	-0.69
Fred Jones	29	30	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	1	4	17.8	17.0	0.76	15.8	17.7	-1.96
Scot Pollard	12	14	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	4	-2	19.6	16.9	2.71	16.2	17.2	-0.97

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	33	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-10	14	14.8	18.4	-3.58	19.0	16.2	2.81
Morris Peterson	45	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-9	12	15.6	18.6	-2.97	18.1	16.4	1.69
Vince Carter	63	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-8	10	17.0	17.0	0.03	16.9	18.4	-1.50
Jerome Moiso	26	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	2	-10	20.2	15.6	4.59	16.2	17.8	-1.60
Robert Archibald	24	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	9	-24	18.9	16.3	2.59	13.6	18.5	-4.91
Donyell Marshall	74	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-9	12	16.5	21.2	-4.74	17.8	12.4	5.40
Alvin Williams	42	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.02	-12	6	-18	19.0	15.1	3.86	16.9	17.6	-0.68
Jalen Rose	73	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-5	4	16.8	18.4	-1.54	17.2	17.8	-0.67
Milt Palacio	40	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	0	-6	16.6	17.4	-0.86	17.7	16.9	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, DAL 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.03,0,0	95.0%
SAC 104, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.02,0	94.5%
ATL 73, MIL 65	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0	94.3%