NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	8.0 [233]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +30.5%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	2.3 [693]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -40.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.14	-0.01	9	78%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16	0.11	0.07	0.01	10	77%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	10	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18	-0.03	-0.16	-0.00	16	51%	-0.11	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.09
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.41	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.21,-0.25,-0.34,-0.41,-0.41	-0.18	-0.23	-0.01	20	35%	-0.32	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.07

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3	0.30	0.08	0.23	0.00	11	76%	0.35	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.15	-0.00	14	50%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	15	51%	0.05	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.06
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	6	21%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.09	0.02	17	50%	-0.09	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	29.0	15.8	25.2	2.5	38.4	137.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +23.5%

NYK +21.5%

NYK +7.4%

NYK +0.1%

IND -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.7	98.9	110.2	100.5
season	16.7	15.5		101.1	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.7		100.8	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.4	17.7	15.0	15.3	16.1
NYK	14.9	16.6	18.6	14.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	49	47	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-12	17	15.2	17.1	-1.96	16.8	15.3	1.49
Jamaal Tinsley	60	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-11	15	15.4	17.4	-2.05	16.7	14.8	1.92
Scot Pollard	11	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-4	1	14.3	16.3	-2.04	16.3	16.1	0.25
Reggie Miller	67	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-8	9	16.3	15.5	0.71	15.3	18.2	-2.94
Jermaine O'Neal	66	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.31	1	-8	9	15.8	16.7	-0.90	16.3	15.7	0.62
Austin Croshere	31	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	0	-7	16.4	15.9	0.49	16.7	15.8	0.86
Metta World Peace	85	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-4	1	15.9	18.2	-2.25	15.8	19.3	-3.45
Anthony Johnson	36	35	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	8	-23	17.5	15.1	2.42	15.7	16.4	-0.66
Al Harrington	50	48	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	11	-29	17.3	14.6	2.65	15.9	16.4	-0.57

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	63	66	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.20	20	-13	33	15.4	17.8	-2.36	16.6	14.6	1.97
Stephon Marbury	79	81	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-4	15	15.8	19.1	-3.34	15.8	18.1	-2.29
Kurt Thomas	59	63	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.13	15	-8	23	15.5	17.4	-1.94	16.3	15.5	0.77
Keith Van Horn	85	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	2	3	16.0	20.0	-4.02	15.8	21.7	-5.95
Dikembe Mutombo	47	46	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	1	5	16.0	16.2	-0.15	16.3	15.8	0.48
Michael Doleac	44	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	2	3	16.0	16.2	-0.14	16.2	15.9	0.30
Moochie Norris	9	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	11	-15	19.1	15.8	3.34	18.1	15.8	2.29
Shandon Anderson	29	30	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.00	-9	16	-25	17.5	15.4	2.04	15.2	16.5	-1.29
Othella Harrington	25	25	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.02	-14	21	-35	18.4	15.2	3.25	15.3	16.4	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.6,0.75,0.63,0.85,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 96, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.84,1	91.1%
ATL 89, BKN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.74,1	91.0%
PHX 127, GSW 132	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.84,1	90.9%