NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Excitement	8.6 [161]		MVP	Maurice Evans (WAS): +21.2%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	3.9 [450]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): -19.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	3	43%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	11	62%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	7	81%	0.12	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jonny Flynn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	20	43%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Lazar Hayward	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	6	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	6	37%	-0.03	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Love	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.17	-0.07	-0.13	-0.02	18	49%	0.03	5	-0.21	5	80%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2	-0.05	-0.11	0.04	15	47%	-0.05	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	0.00	10	68%	0.27	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.01	5	58%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	18	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	58%	0.07	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	17	45%	0.05	2	-0.08	6	33%	-0.08
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mustafa Shakur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	10	36%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	28.3	15.6	29.3	2.3	32.5	134.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +31.4%

MIN -10.2%

WAS +5.8%

WAS +25.8%

MIN -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	WAS	NBA	MIN	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.6	15.5	98.0	104.0	105.7
season	14.3	15.1		102.7	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		108.7	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	17.1	12.9	13.6	14.7
WAS	15.2	14.8	13.7	14.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Randolph	33	33	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.09	2	-9	11	14.2	14.9	-0.63	13.7	15.0	-1.32
Jonny Flynn	28	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-6	5	14.8	14.6	0.17	13.9	14.8	-0.95
Nikola Pekovic	51	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-4	1	15.2	14.1	1.03	15.4	13.7	1.66
Michael Beasley	70	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-6	5	14.2	15.9	-1.77	14.7	14.2	0.47
Lazar Hayward	44	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	2	-11	15.6	13.9	1.77	13.6	15.3	-1.72
Kevin Love	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-5	3	14.4	15.4	-1.01	14.7	14.2	0.54
Luke Ridnour	70	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	14.6	14.8	-0.17	14.8	13.9	0.95
Wayne Ellington	82	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-1	-5	14.6	15.1	-0.55	15.0	12.6	2.33
Anthony Tolliver	37	38	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	2	-11	14.8	14.6	0.28	14.0	14.9	-0.93

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	38	36	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-3	13	14.0	14.9	-0.93	13.6	15.3	-1.62
Cartier Martin	58	56	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-5	17	13.7	15.8	-2.06	14.7	14.6	0.16
Maurice Evans	53	52	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	1	5	14.8	14.3	0.51	14.2	15.1	-0.88
John Wall	80	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-1	9	14.1	16.6	-2.54	14.7	14.5	0.23
Andray Blatche	80	81	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	2	3	14.8	13.5	1.36	15.1	12.8	2.30
JaVale McGee	60	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	2	3	15.1	13.8	1.29	15.0	14.2	0.78
Mustafa Shakur	19	17	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	8	-9	16.6	14.1	2.54	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Rashard Lewis	46	46	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	6	-5	14.3	14.8	-0.51	15.1	14.2	0.88
Yi Jianlian	1	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.06	2	5	-3	20.0	14.5	5.48	16.5	14.6	1.87
Jordan Crawford	41	42	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	10	-13	15.8	13.7	2.06	14.6	14.7	-0.16
Kevin Seraphin	19	19	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.08	-10	17	-27	12.7	15.0	-2.28	13.7	14.9	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.15,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.53,0.53,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.92,1	92.6%
DET 79, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.78,0.94,0.98,1	91.7%
POR 99, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.62,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	91.5%