NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	79		Excitement	7.6 [289]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +30.9%
Utah Jazz	84		Comeback	5.7 [467]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -33.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mateen Cleaves	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.08
Joe Smith	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	13	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	28	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	5	8%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.29	-0.10	-0.20	-0.01	20	40%	-0.17	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.13	0.17	-0.01	7	93%	0.31	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.00	0.12	-0.01	10	50%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	58%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
John Starks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	13	40%	-0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	2	17%	-0.07	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.33	-0.33	-0.18	-0.16	-0.01	14	36%	-0.23	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	27.4	16.6	26.0	1.6	28.4	124.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +53.8%

UTA +8.0%

DET -19.3%

UTA +2.7%

UTA +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	16.8	16.9	15.5	92.9	97.7	100.9
season	14.3	16.0		97.9	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		100.5	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.3	17.8	14.0	20.7	16.8
UTA	15.3	16.5	19.4	16.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	47	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-6	7	17.5	15.9	1.64	16.7	17.1	-0.41
Jud Buechler	2	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-4	3	12.0	16.9	-4.92	2.0	17.2	-15.24
Corliss Williamson	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	4	-13	17.1	16.7	0.41	15.5	17.6	-2.13
Mateen Cleaves	10	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	1	-7	23.6	15.9	7.71	16.1	17.0	-0.89
Mikki Moore	20	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.14	-10	5	-15	18.9	16.1	2.81	14.7	17.5	-2.78
Joe Smith	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.49	5	-10	15	16.1	18.9	-2.81	17.5	14.7	2.78
Billy Owens	32	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-3	1	15.3	17.7	-2.39	18.6	15.7	2.94
Chucky Atkins	75	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.40	1	-6	7	15.9	23.6	-7.71	17.0	16.1	0.89
Ben Wallace	68	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-3	1	16.9	16.4	0.56	17.0	16.5	0.49
Jerry Stackhouse	76	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	-3	1	16.9	16.0	0.89	17.0	15.4	1.66

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	53	54	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.30	22	-17	39	15.6	19.0	-3.43	18.6	13.7	4.92
John Starks	33	33	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-1	7	16.2	17.3	-1.04	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Donyell Marshall	62	63	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	17.1	16.3	0.82	17.4	15.1	2.31
Karl Malone	67	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	1	3	16.8	17.2	-0.42	16.9	16.6	0.31
Bryon Russell	63	61	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	1	3	17.2	16.0	1.21	16.8	16.7	0.13
Greg Ostertag	29	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	-3	11	16.0	17.3	-1.33	19.1	15.7	3.39
Scott Padgett	12	10	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	0	5	13.3	17.5	-4.13	19.5	16.4	3.06
Danny Manning	21	21	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	2	1	17.1	16.8	0.28	16.4	16.9	-0.56
David Benoit	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	10	-15	19.2	16.5	2.75	11.4	17.7	-6.27
Olden Polynice	45	46	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.01	-10	15	-25	17.5	16.2	1.32	15.5	18.3	-2.74
Jacque Vaughn	33	31	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.05	-17	22	-39	19.0	15.6	3.43	13.7	18.6	-4.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.78,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, SAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.1%
UTA 98, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.74,1	92.0%
MIN 96, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.84,1	91.7%