NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	127		Excitement	9.4 [86]		MVP	CJ Watson (GSW): +31.3%
Golden State Warriors	132		Comeback	3.6 [233]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -23.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.25,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.23	0.21	0.02	0.00	22	78%	0.37	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	92%	0.15	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Lou Amundson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.05	0.02	13	69%	0.19	4	-0.11	6	67%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	7	65%	0.15	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.04
Channing Frye	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	9	50%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	10	36%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	9	41%	-0.05	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.19	0.00	5	87%	0.31	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.10	0.01	17	80%	0.51	6	-0.24	7	100%	0.06
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	85%	0.16	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	13	45%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.04	0.04	10	59%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.05	-0.17	0.02	27	53%	0.07	7	-0.30	8	87%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	32.6	16.3	27.4	2.3	34.5	141.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +2.4%

GSW +21.4%

GSW +17.1%

GSW +10.3%

PHX -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	12.9	13.5	15.3	115.5	122.2	106.0
season	14.4	13.4		113.5	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.5		110.0	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.2	11.3	12.1	17.0	12.9
GSW	15.0	13.1	11.5	15.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	59	57	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.19	7	-12	19	12.8	13.1	-0.37	14.4	12.5	1.93
Goran Dragic	41	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-6	7	14.0	12.3	1.66	13.3	13.6	-0.24
Channing Frye	62	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	12.3	13.8	-1.48	13.1	14.0	-0.89
Lou Amundson	40	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-4	3	13.6	12.5	1.12	12.1	14.3	-2.21
Jason Richardson	84	83	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-6	7	12.6	14.0	-1.34	14.1	11.5	2.56
Leandro Barbosa	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-2	-1	12.1	13.4	-1.26	12.4	14.1	-1.77
Steve Nash	86	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	1	-7	12.2	15.4	-3.17	13.4	13.7	-0.28
Jared Dudley	77	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	1	-7	13.5	11.6	1.86	13.1	14.4	-1.26
Amar'e Stoudemire	60	59	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.39	-14	9	-23	13.8	11.8	2.01	14.5	12.2	2.32

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	30	31	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.37	12	-7	19	15.3	12.8	2.55	15.4	12.0	3.46
Anthony Morrow	83	84	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.36	11	-6	17	13.5	13.6	-0.09	13.6	10.7	2.99
CJ Watson	70	72	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.42	3	2	1	13.6	13.3	0.23	13.1	12.6	0.47
Monta Ellis	101	102	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	2	1	13.7	10.7	2.97	13.2	10.0	3.17
Vladimir Radmanovic	51	52	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	-1	7	12.3	14.6	-2.30	13.2	12.7	0.59
Stephen Curry	66	69	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	-1	7	12.4	15.2	-2.74	11.4	15.4	-3.99
Corey Maggette	78	78	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	9	-13	14.0	12.1	1.97	12.8	13.3	-0.53
Anthony Randolph	61	62	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.09	-12	17	-29	13.7	13.3	0.42	11.8	14.5	-2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, NOK 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.53,0.92,1	91.8%
IND 90, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.98,1	91.8%
MIL 102, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.83,0.99,1	91.4%