NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	8.3 [228]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +20.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	96		Comeback	1.7 [842]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -34.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.10	0.00	7	57%	0.14	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.00	0.04	-0.06	12	52%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.03
Jeff Foster	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	43%	0.03	1	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	36%	0.00	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	8	40%	-0.13	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.34	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.33,-0.34	-0.09	-0.26	-0.00	21	44%	-0.16	4	-0.18	12	67%	-0.20

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.05,-0.02,0.08,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.12	0.02	32	53%	0.26	2	-0.06	21	71%	-0.08
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.08	-0.05	14	52%	0.19	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	86%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.8	33.1	17.6	26.4	2.7	48.2	159.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.9%

LAL +3.1%

IND -0.0%

LAL +3.4%

IND -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.6	93.8	100.0	104.4
season	16.0	15.6		102.3	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	14.5	17.7	14.3	15.3
LAL	15.0	15.5	16.6	12.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	49	48	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.19	0	-6	6	16.5	14.0	2.51	15.9	13.6	2.31
David Harrison	26	27	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-11	16	14.4	15.6	-1.15	15.8	14.3	1.50
Eddie Gill	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-4	2	0.0	15.3	-15.26	0.0	14.9	-14.89
Jeff Foster	62	60	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.07	0	-6	6	16.0	14.0	2.00	15.3	13.9	1.41
Stephen Jackson	53	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.50	13	-19	32	13.9	16.9	-2.94	15.4	14.0	1.38
Sarunas Jasikevicius	59	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	8	-22	14.7	16.2	-1.56	13.1	17.5	-4.37
Anthony Johnson	73	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	3	-12	15.3	15.3	-0.00	14.7	14.7	0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	89	88	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	2	-10	15.3	14.3	1.05	14.9	12.5	2.44
Danny Granger	69	70	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.49	-15	9	-24	15.5	14.7	0.83	13.9	16.9	-2.94

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	57	57	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.26	13	-7	20	13.4	16.7	-3.33	14.7	16.1	-1.42
Kobe Bryant	89	90	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	14.6	16.4	-1.82	15.3	14.8	0.46
Chris Mihm	43	43	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.39	1	5	-4	13.8	15.5	-1.68	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Smush Parker	62	60	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	6	-6	15.6	13.1	2.56	15.0	15.7	-0.78
Lamar Odom	82	81	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.32	-1	7	-8	15.2	11.9	3.29	14.8	17.8	-3.01
Sasha Vujacic	41	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	1	4	13.7	15.5	-1.89	15.6	15.0	0.64
Luke Walton	10	10	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	2	2	12.7	15.0	-2.28	17.8	15.0	2.83
Andrew Bynum	8	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	2	2	16.0	14.6	1.37	14.0	15.4	-1.38
Brian Cook	30	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	2	2	14.7	14.7	-0.01	17.2	14.4	2.84
Kwame Brown	58	60	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	13	-20	16.3	12.4	3.84	15.7	14.5	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 127, GSW 132	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.84,1	91.8%
SAS 79, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.67,0.95,1	91.4%
LAL 103, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.45,0.44,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.86,0.62,0.72,0.57,0.91,1	91.2%