NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	9.1 [130]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +41.6%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	1.6 [756]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -27.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.29	0.08	0.21	0.01	6	80%	0.42	2	-0.13	8	75%	0.07
Xavier Henry	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	7	75%	0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Nick Young	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.05	17	60%	0.23	4	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01
Ryan Kelly	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	11	68%	0.11	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Robert Sacre	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	15	41%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.17	-0.01	-0.15	0.01	13	53%	-0.04	3	-0.14	4	75%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.42	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.02	15	60%	0.42	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.36,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.14	0.01	17	62%	0.28	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.00	6	57%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	7	44%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	9	52%	0.01	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	14	53%	0.01	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	6	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.05	-0.20	0.02	10	70%	0.06	7	-0.33	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	29.3	15.5	22.2	2.0	35.1	128.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.0%

LAL -3.5%

UTA +34.8%

LAL -8.5%

UTA +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	12.8	17.1	15.1	106.2	109.4	105.2
season	14.0	16.2		102.9	102.1
opponent	14.8	14.8		109.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.8	12.5	12.3	13.7	12.8
UTA	17.7	15.8	16.0	19.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	24	25	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.13	3	-5	8	11.6	13.2	-1.61	19.6	16.2	3.36
Chris Kaman	65	66	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-6	10	12.4	13.6	-1.15	15.5	20.6	-5.08
Wesley Johnson	36	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-4	6	12.0	13.3	-1.31	14.8	18.5	-3.77
Nick Young	53	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	5	-12	13.3	12.2	1.16	18.1	15.7	2.37
Shawne Williams	40	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	2	-6	12.8	12.8	-0.03	14.5	18.9	-4.37
Jordan Farmar	70	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.41	4	-6	10	12.3	14.1	-1.83	15.5	21.2	-5.72
Xavier Henry	57	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-4	6	12.8	12.8	0.03	18.9	14.5	4.37
Jordan Hill	41	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	2	-6	13.6	12.2	1.46	19.9	15.0	4.93
Robert Sacre	17	14	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.40	-3	1	-4	14.6	12.4	2.18	20.8	16.4	4.35
Jodie Meeks	82	79	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.46	-7	5	-12	13.1	11.1	2.04	17.3	16.1	1.16

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	79	81	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	-5	12	16.0	22.1	-6.06	12.4	14.7	-2.27
Marvin Williams	76	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	-1	4	15.7	22.1	-6.35	12.4	14.5	-2.15
Alec Burks	58	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	0	2	18.5	14.8	3.69	12.7	12.9	-0.12
John Lucas III	21	22	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-9	20	21.4	15.9	5.58	14.1	12.4	1.68
Enes Kanter	24	24	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	-8	18	21.2	15.7	5.51	14.8	12.1	2.65
Trey Burke	75	75	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.46	-9	11	-20	15.9	21.4	-5.58	12.4	14.1	-1.68
Derrick Favors	72	72	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.42	-8	10	-18	15.7	21.2	-5.51	12.2	14.4	-2.16
Richard Jefferson	49	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	6	-10	16.1	18.1	-2.07	13.0	12.6	0.45
Jeremy Evans	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	3	-4	22.1	15.7	6.35	14.5	12.4	2.15
Brandon Rush	6	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	3	-4	25.3	16.5	8.81	14.9	12.6	2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.45,0.44,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.86,0.62,0.72,0.57,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.93,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.91,1	91.8%
DET 79, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.84,1,1	91.4%
IND 90, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.98,1	91.2%