NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	7.2 [409]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOK): +36.1%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	95		Comeback	3.1 [235]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -22.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.25	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.25	0.04	0.20	-0.01	9	67%	0.33	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Anderson Varejao	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	10	71%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Larry Hughes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	10	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.08	0.01	-0.09	-0.00	9	44%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.22	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	18	41%	-0.16	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.36	0.36	0.20	0.17	0.01	16	73%	0.41	1	-0.05	9	89%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	11	64%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	6	86%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.06	-0.02	16	45%	0.08	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Cedric Simmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	12	43%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.0	28.0	13.8	25.2	1.7	29.3	126.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +51.9%

NOK +1.4%

CLE -1.6%

CLE -2.9%

NOK +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOK	NBA	CLE	NOK	NBA
this game	17.9	17.4	15.4	108.5	117.3	104.5
season	16.0	16.0		103.2	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		104.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	19.1	17.0	17.7	18.1	17.9
NOK	16.9	15.0	18.3	19.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gibson	56	56	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-9	12	18.1	17.5	0.59	17.3	17.6	-0.24
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-7	8	18.8	16.5	2.39	16.7	18.5	-1.75
Eric Snow	42	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-7	8	18.4	17.4	1.00	17.9	16.8	1.09
Anderson Varejao	64	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-6	6	17.6	19.0	-1.36	18.1	14.7	3.40
Damon Jones	39	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	3	-12	17.6	18.2	-0.57	16.4	18.2	-1.82
LeBron James	69	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-2	-2	18.0	17.5	0.48	18.1	13.5	4.69
Larry Hughes	40	39	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	3	-12	17.3	18.5	-1.20	16.6	18.2	-1.60
Donyell Marshall	49	47	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.28	-13	7	-20	17.4	18.8	-1.37	17.1	17.8	-0.64

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	61	61	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.36	15	-9	24	17.0	18.7	-1.80	17.4	19.6	-2.19
Marc Jackson	41	43	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	17.3	17.5	-0.21	18.0	17.9	0.08
Chris Paul	76	77	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-1	8	17.8	11.4	6.39	18.0	17.0	1.00
Desmond Mason	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	3	0	17.7	14.7	2.93	17.9	17.9	0.07
Tyson Chandler	62	62	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	4	-2	18.0	15.6	2.37	18.4	16.5	1.84
Hilton Armstrong	23	23	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	-4	14	17.8	17.2	0.60	16.0	18.7	-2.63
Cedric Simmons	36	36	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.04	-7	13	-20	16.3	18.3	-2.01	18.3	17.6	0.70
Rasual Butler	33	34	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.06	-7	13	-20	16.7	17.9	-1.23	18.8	17.3	1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.53,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,1	92.1%
CLE 96, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.55,0.72,1	92.1%
MIN 79, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.81,1	91.8%