inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 96 Excitement9.8 [82] MVPJ.R. Smith (CLE): +46.0%
Chicago Bulls 99 Comeback2.4 [514] LVPKyrie Irving (CLE): -28.1%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Smith0.460,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28,0.17,0.460.120.34-0.00978%0.4600.0000%0.00
Matthew Dellavedova0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.030.004100%0.141-0.032100%0.04
Tristan Thompson0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.04-0.00856%0.0800.002100%0.03
James Jones0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.00567%0.0700.002100%0.01
Timofey Mozgov0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00944%0.0000.0000%0.00
Iman Shumpert-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01944%0.011-0.0300%0.00
LeBron James-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1-0.130.02-0.012544%0.127-0.211191%0.12
Kyrie Irving-0.280,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28-0.06-0.200.021339%-0.202-0.082100%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.340.340.040.28-0.011750%0.3400.00683%0.03
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.05,-0.04,0.250.25-0.020.26-0.002648%0.353-0.101090%0.02
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.160.160.070.100.00475%0.1600.00475%0.04
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.02-0.011264%0.1300.001100%0.01
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.020.00855%0.031-0.03683%-0.00
Kirk Hinrich00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00743%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.02-0.03714%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.010.02822%-0.102-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.63.030.215.734.23.339.1149.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +13.6%
CHI +1.3%
CHI +48.5%
CLE -10.8%
CLE -2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLECHINBACLECHINBA
this game16.115.015.1103.2107.6104.2
season15.915.5108.7105.4
opponent15.214.9102.5104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.214.518.716.216.1
CHI15.415.514.914.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Timofey Mozgov43440.02-0.520.54-0.042-5716.415.80.6415.814.41.42
Matthew Dellavedova3432-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-4514.517.0-2.5214.415.4-0.96
Iman Shumpert7068-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.24-1-2116.913.63.3115.713.02.69
Tristan Thompson7977-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.331-4516.514.12.3814.816.0-1.16
James Jones2930-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.12-74-1114.117.0-2.8515.314.90.40
LeBron James8482-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.370-3316.413.23.1815.114.40.71
J.R. Smith5152-0.560.06-0.62-0.44-41-515.417.0-1.5614.715.5-0.78
Kyrie Irving7575-0.620.12-0.74-0.41-74-1116.414.91.4314.517.5-3.06

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Mirotic43451.08-0.581.650.5219-163515.015.0-0.0215.916.2-0.32
Derrick Rose74750.69-0.190.890.439-61514.716.6-1.8916.514.42.12
Taj Gibson42440.430.070.350.46-14-515.115.00.1216.515.80.68
Mike Dunleavy74740.340.160.180.2530314.915.4-0.5116.414.91.51
Jimmy Butler84850.280.220.070.34-25-715.014.90.1716.413.03.39
Tony Snell110.060.44-0.380.0603-32.015.2-13.180.016.3-16.27
Kirk Hinrich40390.060.44-0.390.11-25-715.214.90.2514.916.9-1.98
Joakim Noah4140-0.060.56-0.63-0.00-25-715.914.41.5316.415.80.58
Pau Gasol4344-0.180.68-0.86-0.09-36-914.515.5-1.0215.916.3-0.36
Aaron Brooks1818-0.190.69-0.89-0.02-69-1516.614.71.8914.416.5-2.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.55,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 89, NOK 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.53,0.92,192.1%
DAL 101, POR 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.92,191.6%
CHA 89, ORL 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.96,191.5%