NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	4.6 [893]		MVP	Travis Best (DAL): +9.2%
Dallas Mavericks	106		Comeback	1.5 [938]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -6.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	22	58%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	13	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	15	57%	-0.00	2	-0.03	7	43%	-0.03
Rodney Rogers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	19	55%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	14	63%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	21	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	27.4	16.6	24.2	1.7	28.5	123.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +23.4%

DAL +2.6%

DAL +19.4%

DAL +4.2%

DAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DAL	NBA	NJN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	17.2	15.7	104.5	121.8	100.5
season	15.3	14.6		98.1	109.2
opponent	15.6	16.2		105.0	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.3	16.4	15.8	13.7	15.6
DAL	15.0	18.8	16.2	19.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	5	5	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-14	15	19.8	15.3	4.47	21.8	16.9	4.92
Zoran Planinic	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	16.0	15.6	0.42	21.0	17.1	3.88
Brandon Armstrong	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	0.0	15.6	-15.58	21.0	17.1	3.88
Jason Collins	41	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-12	11	15.1	16.0	-0.81	15.7	18.4	-2.61
Jason Kidd	66	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-12	11	15.3	16.5	-1.26	17.3	16.6	0.66
Rodney Rogers	29	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-3	-7	16.1	15.3	0.77	16.3	17.5	-1.16
Brian Scalabrine	28	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-9	5	15.0	15.8	-0.80	21.0	15.3	5.71
Kerry Kittles	73	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-7	1	15.3	16.8	-1.50	16.8	18.8	-1.99
Richard Jefferson	80	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-2	-9	15.8	13.6	2.26	16.8	21.7	-4.84
Lucious Harris	38	35	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	7	-27	16.7	14.8	1.87	17.4	17.0	0.45
Kenyon Martin	84	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	1	-15	15.3	19.8	-4.47	16.8	21.7	-4.84

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	51	52	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-5	23	17.9	16.1	1.74	15.8	15.2	0.58
Michael Finley	79	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	1	11	17.4	14.7	2.66	15.8	13.4	2.38
Steve Nash	67	68	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	4	5	16.8	18.3	-1.54	15.5	15.9	-0.42
Dirk Nowitzki	70	71	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	4	5	16.8	18.5	-1.63	15.6	15.5	0.11
Danny Fortson	31	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	2	9	17.3	17.1	0.20	16.7	15.0	1.73
Antoine Walker	67	68	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.16	2	11	-9	17.5	15.9	1.64	15.1	17.2	-2.16
Travis Best	21	22	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	10	-7	18.5	16.7	1.73	15.9	15.5	0.43
Josh Howard	38	38	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	11	-9	14.8	19.0	-4.12	15.6	15.5	0.08
Shawn Bradley	11	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	14	-15	19.1	16.9	2.21	13.2	16.1	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 79, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
SAC 89, SAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.5%
CHA 100, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.99,1	95.4%