NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	100		Excitement	5.3 [736]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +8.7%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.6 [722]		LVP	Nazr Mohammed (CHA): -7.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.02	0.01	10	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	90%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	17	58%	0.05	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.04	0.05	26	52%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.02	0.01	10	41%	-0.01	3	-0.06	7	43%	-0.05
Nazr Mohammed	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	13	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	69%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	10	79%	0.15	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.01	0.06	14	72%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	15	41%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	39%	0.01	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	29.4	15.8	28.3	2.6	35.3	141.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +40.9%

CHA -4.5%

BOS +10.8%

BOS +0.3%

BOS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.2	15.4	103.1	110.2	105.7
season	15.8	15.6		103.1	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.1		98.3	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.5	15.6	14.5	13.7	15.3
BOS	12.5	15.0	13.2	16.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	22	22	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-12	16	14.8	15.5	-0.64	15.9	13.8	2.10
Jermareo Davidson	25	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-6	4	15.1	15.4	-0.31	15.6	13.8	1.78
Nazr Mohammed	54	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-9	10	15.5	15.0	0.47	14.4	13.9	0.52
Ryan Hollins	6	4	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	1	-10	18.3	15.1	3.22	15.2	14.2	1.06
Jared Dudley	54	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-6	4	14.8	15.9	-1.07	14.9	13.4	1.50
Emeka Okafor	69	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	15.7	14.4	1.34	13.3	16.3	-2.96
Jason Richardson	93	94	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-5	2	15.1	20.2	-5.15	14.1	16.7	-2.62
Raymond Felton	89	91	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	1	-10	15.0	18.2	-3.21	13.8	19.3	-5.44
Matt Carroll	73	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	5	-18	15.7	14.1	1.63	14.1	14.8	-0.74

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-5	18	14.3	14.1	0.15	15.8	13.7	2.12
Kevin Garnett	63	63	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-3	14	14.5	13.8	0.72	15.9	14.2	1.70
Eddie House	32	31	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-4	16	14.7	14.0	0.77	15.8	15.1	0.68
Paul Pierce	85	84	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	8	-8	14.4	12.8	1.60	14.9	18.2	-3.37
Rajon Rondo	74	74	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	10	-12	14.1	14.7	-0.68	14.6	17.7	-3.19
James Posey	45	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	9	-10	15.0	13.6	1.37	16.3	14.5	1.76
Kendrick Perkins	64	64	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	4	0	13.2	16.1	-2.88	14.7	16.4	-1.64
Leon Powe	22	21	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	5	-2	14.8	14.1	0.75	15.8	15.2	0.64
Glen Davis	31	30	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	8	-8	13.5	14.6	-1.10	14.9	15.5	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	95.4%
WAS 106, LAL 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
LAL 91, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.72,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.9,1,1	95.2%