NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	79		Excitement	4.5 [945]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +16.0%
Miami Heat	97		Comeback	1.2 [1244]		LVP	LeBron James (MIA): -18.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ike Diogu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	7	12%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	17	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	13	54%	-0.03
DeAndre Jordan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	0.00	5	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Brian Cook	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	5	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	12	52%	0.03	7	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	16	42%	-0.08	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	14	74%	0.23	4	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	11	55%	-0.04
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	11	68%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	44%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	15	37%	-0.06	6	-0.13	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.6	33.4	16.5	29.8	1.8	36.2	147.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +46.1%

LAC -7.3%

MIA +5.2%

MIA +5.6%

MIA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIA	NBA	LAC	MIA	NBA
this game	15.3	15.3	15.5	84.0	103.2	105.7
season	15.4	16.0		104.4	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.3		102.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	16.5	13.8	15.9	15.3
MIA	14.2	15.5	16.2	15.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	42	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-11	4	14.2	16.2	-2.04	14.1	16.4	-2.26
DeAndre Jordan	41	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-6	-6	16.7	14.2	2.54	16.1	14.8	1.35
Ike Diogu	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-15	12	14.1	16.6	-2.46	15.5	15.2	0.35
Blake Griffin	73	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-8	-2	15.8	13.7	2.10	15.3	15.7	-0.43
Brian Cook	25	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-7	-4	13.9	15.8	-1.93	14.5	15.6	-1.18
Ryan Gomes	62	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.20	-17	-1	-16	16.4	13.2	3.15	16.0	14.1	1.86
Eric Bledsoe	29	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-10	2	15.0	15.4	-0.38	14.4	15.8	-1.40
Baron Davis	70	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-4	-10	15.4	15.0	0.34	15.4	15.3	0.05
Randy Foye	79	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-10	2	15.1	16.5	-1.39	15.7	13.5	2.22

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	44	43	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.29	25	-7	32	14.7	15.9	-1.11	16.1	14.6	1.42
Dwyane Wade	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.15	20	-2	22	15.5	14.8	0.62	15.7	14.0	1.73
Joel Anthony	62	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	5	8	15.4	15.3	0.09	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Chris Bosh	67	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	0	18	15.6	14.8	0.79	15.6	14.5	1.16
James Jones	34	33	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	13	-8	13.7	16.3	-2.56	14.3	15.9	-1.58
LeBron James	68	68	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	5	8	15.7	14.4	1.27	15.5	14.7	0.84
Mario Chalmers	38	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	14	-10	15.6	15.2	0.40	15.3	15.3	-0.06
Mike Miller	41	43	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.20	-3	21	-24	15.2	15.4	-0.21	14.4	16.0	-1.62
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	32	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	13	-8	15.3	15.4	-0.09	15.6	15.1	0.50
Carlos Arroyo	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	24	-30	16.7	15.3	1.47	12.0	15.4	-3.44
Juwan Howard	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	19.2	15.1	4.09	13.2	15.4	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	95.6%
IND 96, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 84, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%