NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	76		Excitement	1.8 [1264]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +8.5%
Houston Rockets	95		Comeback	1.0 [1228]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): -9.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ndudi Ebi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	8	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	23%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	20	40%	-0.04	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	0.00	0.09	19	60%	-0.05	5	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	16	39%	-0.03	5	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	16	61%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	10	80%	-0.02
Steve Francis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.10	-0.00	-0.11	13	56%	0.05	6	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.02	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	19	34%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	69%	0.00	5	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.6	29.8	17.8	28.5	0.7	39.2	142.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +41.3%

HOU +0.4%

HOU +7.4%

HOU +0.9%

MIN -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	16.9	15.7	84.4	103.3	100.5
season	15.6	16.5		103.2	98.8
opponent	15.6	16.1		97.1	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.4	16.1	14.0	12.7	14.7
HOU	17.1	17.4	15.9	17.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ndudi Ebi	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	13.7	14.8	-1.09	21.0	16.8	4.24
Ervin Johnson	29	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-11	3	15.4	14.4	1.02	15.9	17.4	-1.51
Mark Madsen	10	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-10	1	17.4	14.4	3.01	19.2	16.6	2.59
Anthony Goldwire	35	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-16	13	14.3	15.0	-0.71	17.2	16.7	0.48
Trenton Hassell	68	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-12	5	14.5	15.5	-1.09	16.7	17.7	-1.08
Fred Hoiberg	52	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-14	9	14.4	15.2	-0.85	16.9	16.9	0.05
Sam Cassell	76	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-8	-3	14.1	17.9	-3.71	17.1	15.8	1.32
Oliver Miller	16	14	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.24	-19	0	-19	18.1	14.0	4.14	16.2	17.0	-0.81
Kevin Garnett	82	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-9	-1	14.4	18.1	-3.73	16.9	16.7	0.17
Latrell Sprewell	79	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.17	-23	4	-27	15.0	12.5	2.58	16.8	17.7	-0.88

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	85	83	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	4	11	16.9	17.1	-0.26	14.5	17.1	-2.62
Yao Ming	75	73	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	8	3	16.0	20.9	-4.88	15.2	12.8	2.41
Cuttino Mobley	82	80	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.16	19	0	19	16.8	18.1	-1.34	14.8	14.2	0.59
Maurice Taylor	59	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	9	1	17.1	16.6	0.51	14.2	15.6	-1.35
Jim Jackson	85	83	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	8	3	17.0	15.6	1.44	14.3	19.6	-5.26
Bostjan Nachbar	23	22	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	9	1	17.7	16.7	1.00	15.5	14.5	1.09
Kelvin Cato	44	44	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.22	15	4	11	17.9	16.0	1.84	14.8	14.6	0.23
Mike Wilks	7	7	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	15	-11	17.1	16.9	0.26	17.1	14.5	2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 83, DAL 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
POR 84, TOR 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
UTA 93, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	97.6%