NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	2.6 [1250]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +18.9%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	1.0 [1219]		LVP	Donatas Motiejunas (HOU): -6.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.16	-0.00	0.13	15	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	10	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	52%	-0.01	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Randy Foye	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	35%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	19	46%	-0.02	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.01	-0.05	14	63%	0.22	3	-0.03	18	94%	0.05
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	13	75%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	45%	0.03	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	8	28%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	26.3	15.4	25.3	1.0	35.1	126.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.2%

HOU +13.3%

HOU +5.8%

UTA -0.1%

HOU +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.4	97.9	105.3	104.1
season	16.0	14.2		104.6	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		105.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.6	17.2	13.8	13.0	15.5
HOU	14.1	15.5	14.4	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	10	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	0	-7	15.7	15.5	0.23	13.8	15.0	-1.13
Enes Kanter	9	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	0	-7	17.9	15.2	2.64	15.4	14.8	0.65
Randy Foye	56	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-4	1	15.6	15.4	0.19	14.1	15.8	-1.74
Paul Millsap	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	1	-9	16.9	14.0	2.87	14.5	15.1	-0.61
Alec Burks	50	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-11	15	13.6	17.6	-4.00	15.2	14.4	0.77
Derrick Favors	44	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.31	1	-8	9	14.7	16.2	-1.47	16.0	13.8	2.24
Gordon Hayward	84	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-11	15	15.4	16.4	-0.98	15.0	14.0	0.95
Marvin Williams	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	14.6	16.2	-1.61	14.9	14.8	0.06
Mo Williams	46	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	8	-23	17.7	13.4	4.31	14.4	15.2	-0.72
Al Jefferson	86	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-7	7	15.2	17.9	-2.64	14.8	15.4	-0.65

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	75	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	0	7	14.5	15.9	-1.37	15.9	13.8	2.07
Carlos Delfino	52	49	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	1	5	14.9	14.8	0.10	13.5	17.7	-4.18
Patrick Beverley	36	34	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.04	10	-3	13	15.9	14.1	1.81	13.9	16.4	-2.51
Omer Asik	68	70	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.22	3	4	-1	14.3	16.1	-1.85	16.2	13.5	2.73
Donatas Motiejunas	48	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	-1	9	14.8	14.9	-0.10	17.7	13.0	4.74
Chandler Parsons	74	76	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	7	-7	14.7	15.3	-0.60	15.9	14.0	1.87
Greg Smith	27	25	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	3	1	16.1	14.3	1.85	13.5	16.2	-2.73
Jeremy Lin	59	61	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	10	-13	14.1	15.9	-1.81	16.4	13.9	2.51
Thomas Robinson	36	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	7	-7	15.7	14.3	1.41	13.4	16.7	-3.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, LAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
MIN 76, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
CHA 63, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%