NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	84		Excitement	2.0 [1234]		MVP	Doug Christie (TOR): +11.6%
Toronto Raptors	120		Comeback	1.0 [1026]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -7.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	11	54%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ennis Whatley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	6	92%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	6	25%	-0.01	2	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	10	55%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dontonio Wingfield	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.14	0.00	-0.13	5	0%	-0.01	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	12	48%	-0.02	4	-0.05	3	100%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	11	41%	-0.04	4	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	18	39%	-0.05	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.00	0.07	13	89%	0.13	3	-0.02	11	100%	0.03
Walt Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.15	0.00	0.10	15	73%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	17	47%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Acie Earl	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martin Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00	2	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	7	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Clifford Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	15	39%	-0.03	1	0.00	8	37%	-0.01
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	4	50%	0.00	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.6	27.2	15.7	24.9	2.5	24.4	124.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +27.5%

TOR +14.3%

TOR +0.4%

TOR +6.0%

TOR +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	TOR	NBA	POR	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	13.7	15.6	83.2	122.4	104.4
season	15.5	16.1		105.2	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.5		105.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.2	16.7	14.8	13.2	15.2
TOR	13.2	10.8	15.8	15.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Butler	25	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-27	18	13.2	15.9	-2.77	15.0	13.2	1.86
Ennis Whatley	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.32	-11	-25	14	13.1	16.0	-2.87	14.6	13.3	1.32
Marcus Brown	5	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-35	34	15.2	15.2	-0.05	10.0	13.8	-3.83
Dontonio Wingfield	46	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.51	-22	-14	-8	15.5	15.0	0.46	13.2	14.1	-0.88
Stacey Augmon	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.33	-16	-20	4	14.8	15.4	-0.59	14.8	13.1	1.69
Jermaine O'Neal	41	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.39	-19	-17	-2	15.0	15.4	-0.38	13.9	13.5	0.38
Isaiah Rider	69	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.23	-20	-16	-4	15.4	14.8	0.59	13.1	14.8	-1.69
Gary Trent	55	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	-22	8	15.0	15.5	-0.46	14.1	13.2	0.88
Clifford Robinson	63	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	-15	-6	15.7	14.5	1.16	13.6	13.8	-0.18
Chris Dudley	73	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.26	-23	-13	-10	15.7	14.0	1.68	13.1	15.1	-1.98
Kenny Anderson	69	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.23	-24	-12	-12	16.1	13.5	2.60	13.5	14.0	-0.52

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	78	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.51	32	4	28	13.3	15.0	-1.73	15.4	14.6	0.85
Doug Christie	65	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.27	23	13	10	13.2	14.6	-1.41	16.3	13.1	3.20
Popeye Jones	52	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.23	21	15	6	13.5	13.8	-0.33	16.0	14.3	1.77
Clifford Rozier	61	63	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.37	25	11	14	12.9	14.9	-2.00	14.0	17.3	-3.27
Walt Williams	66	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.58	32	4	28	13.5	14.0	-0.48	16.5	12.6	3.92
Damon Stoudamire	56	58	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.51	28	8	20	13.7	13.6	0.10	16.2	14.0	2.17
Reggie Slater	59	60	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.34	20	16	4	13.7	13.6	0.05	14.4	16.5	-2.17
Acie Earl	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	34	-32	16.4	13.2	3.21	12.8	15.6	-2.84
Martin Lewis	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	34	-32	16.0	13.2	2.78	13.3	15.6	-2.25
John Long	23	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	41	-46	15.6	13.1	2.47	12.0	16.3	-4.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 88, SAS 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.6%
CLE 96, SAS 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
CHA 75, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%