NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	83		Excitement	1.9 [1243]		MVP	Hubert Davis (DAL): +12.1%
Dallas Mavericks	120		Comeback	1.0 [1194]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -9.1%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	9	65%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brent Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	58%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	12	42%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Grant Long	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	10	43%	-0.07	3	-0.03	10	90%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	12	79%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	14	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.08	12	70%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	60%	0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	63%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	26.5	16.3	32.6	2.5	23.7	126.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +42.2%

VAN -0.7%

VAN -1.1%

DAL +8.2%

DAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	DAL	NBA	VAN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.9	15.5	89.2	130.4	100.9
season	15.6	15.2		97.4	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		101.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.7	17.3	14.9	14.1	15.3
DAL	14.1	14.6	15.8	19.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-36	35	14.2	15.4	-1.27	16.3	15.8	0.51
Tony Massenburg	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-35	33	14.1	15.6	-1.45	19.2	14.8	4.41
Stromile Swift	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.28	-12	-25	13	13.6	16.6	-3.01	18.2	13.9	4.23
Grant Long	36	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.33	-15	-22	7	14.1	16.0	-1.98	18.5	14.3	4.22
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	29	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.24	-15	-22	7	15.4	15.2	0.16	18.3	14.6	3.70
Bryant Reeves	33	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-24	11	14.9	15.5	-0.60	15.6	16.0	-0.46
Othella Harrington	45	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	-21	5	16.2	14.4	1.89	13.6	18.0	-4.41
Mike Bibby	69	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.50	-30	-7	-23	15.4	14.9	0.47	14.8	18.8	-4.02
Damon Jones	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.38	-26	-11	-15	16.2	14.1	2.10	16.4	15.2	1.25
Michael Dickerson	68	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.41	-28	-9	-19	15.3	15.1	0.26	14.6	19.0	-4.48
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	61	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.34	-27	-10	-17	16.1	13.6	2.55	14.1	18.9	-4.78

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	58	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.38	26	11	15	13.9	19.2	-5.25	15.9	14.1	1.83
Steve Nash	67	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.50	30	7	23	14.8	18.8	-4.02	15.4	14.9	0.47
Dirk Nowitzki	53	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.32	22	15	7	14.7	17.5	-2.81	15.7	14.6	1.13
Howard Eisley	62	60	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.23	18	19	-1	16.3	14.9	1.44	15.8	14.4	1.40
Gary Trent	30	32	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.37	22	15	7	14.9	16.3	-1.44	14.8	15.5	-0.65
Hubert Davis	41	42	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.26	18	19	-1	18.3	13.9	4.37	15.1	15.4	-0.36
Christian Laettner	40	41	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.13	12	25	-13	14.3	17.0	-2.69	15.3	15.2	0.13
Shawn Bradley	17	17	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.29	17	20	-3	15.7	15.9	-0.20	18.6	14.5	4.13
Greg Buckner	25	25	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.34	16	21	-5	16.2	15.8	0.40	14.6	15.5	-0.86
Mark Bryant	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	35	-33	18.7	14.8	3.91	12.9	16.1	-3.27
Courtney Alexander	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	35	-33	19.2	14.8	4.41	14.1	15.6	-1.45
Loy Vaught	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	37	-37	18.9	15.0	3.87	13.1	15.8	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 76, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
LAC 68, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
NOH 70, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%