NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	70		Excitement	2.2 [1281]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +5.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	1.2 [657]		LVP	David West (NOH): -9.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.13	-0.00	0.13	12	81%	0.03	4	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
David Andersen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	7	0%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	5	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	11	23%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	10	35%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	80%	0.11	3	-0.05	6	50%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	9	57%	0.03	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	11	58%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	5	8%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	31.4	13.7	31.0	1.5	25.4	127.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +44.9%

PHI +2.4%

PHI +5.2%

NOH -2.3%

NOH -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHI	NBA	NOH	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.8	15.5	74.5	93.6	105.7
season	16.2	15.5		104.6	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.4	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.8	17.7	13.3	13.6	14.9
PHI	15.9	12.3	16.0	19.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Andersen	15	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-21	24	14.5	14.9	-0.38	17.1	15.5	1.52
DJ Mbenga	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.28	9	-27	36	12.2	16.0	-3.82	18.3	14.6	3.64
Jason Smith	9	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.10	-9	-9	0	15.2	14.8	0.41	15.6	15.8	-0.26
Marco Belinelli	47	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	-8	-2	15.1	14.6	0.55	15.6	15.9	-0.27
Trevor Ariza	53	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-8	-2	15.1	14.5	0.64	15.5	16.1	-0.55
David West	55	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-11	4	14.6	15.3	-0.69	15.9	15.7	0.20
Quincy Pondexter	24	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-15	12	14.3	15.0	-0.70	15.2	16.0	-0.77
Chris Paul	63	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	-7	-4	15.7	13.2	2.42	15.6	16.1	-0.42
Marcus Thornton	30	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-11	4	14.6	15.0	-0.42	15.9	15.7	0.17
Emeka Okafor	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.14	-15	-3	-12	16.1	13.6	2.51	14.4	17.3	-2.93
Jarrett Jack	47	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-3	-12	14.7	15.0	-0.26	16.2	15.4	0.81
Willie Green	51	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	-3	-12	14.5	15.2	-0.70	15.6	16.0	-0.31

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	64	65	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.15	20	-2	22	14.8	17.8	-3.01	15.3	13.8	1.48
Lou Williams	53	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	2	14	15.2	16.5	-1.29	15.6	13.8	1.79
Thaddeus Young	53	53	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.05	13	5	8	15.6	16.1	-0.51	15.2	14.4	0.86
Evan Turner	42	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	9	0	16.1	15.6	0.51	14.5	15.1	-0.64
Marreese Speights	26	24	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	8	2	14.8	16.1	-1.30	15.5	14.6	0.93
Jrue Holiday	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	10	-2	16.6	14.2	2.38	14.2	16.1	-1.96
Spencer Hawes	47	50	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	11	-4	16.3	15.3	0.94	15.1	14.6	0.49
Elton Brand	62	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	12	-6	16.0	15.3	0.67	14.1	16.3	-2.24
Jodie Meeks	62	61	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	17	-16	16.2	14.9	1.34	14.6	15.3	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
TOR 101, IND 130	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
ATL 102, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%