NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	83		Excitement	8.2 [206]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (MIL): +23.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	4.6 [473]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -56.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.10	0.01	20	55%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	72%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	41%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	67%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	11	45%	0.09	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	-0.57	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.35,-0.57	-0.20	-0.38	-0.01	14	21%	-0.43	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.13	-0.00	7	85%	0.27	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.07
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	6	79%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	7	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	83%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	15	48%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	4	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Brian Skinner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.16	-0.14	-0.00	5	17%	-0.08	4	-0.21	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	26.3	14.8	30.4	2.4	37.4	136.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +27.3%

MIL +22.1%

NJN -10.9%

MIL +5.8%

MIL +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	16.7	15.7	94.3	98.9	100.5
season	15.3	15.3		98.1	103.6
opponent	15.5	16.2		103.3	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.3	15.6	18.0	14.2	16.2
MIL	17.8	17.1	16.2	15.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	59	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-12	21	15.5	17.6	-2.06	17.9	14.0	3.87
Jason Kidd	69	69	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.35	9	-12	21	15.8	17.8	-2.09	17.3	14.6	2.72
Jason Collins	42	41	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	7	-17	18.0	14.6	3.34	17.1	16.4	0.68
Zoran Planinic	22	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	2	-7	16.5	16.1	0.45	15.8	17.0	-1.19
Aaron Williams	46	46	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.48	7	-10	17	14.6	18.0	-3.34	16.4	17.1	-0.68
Kenyon Martin	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-1	-1	16.5	15.1	1.42	17.5	13.1	4.33
Rodney Rogers	40	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	2	-7	16.3	16.1	0.27	13.6	18.9	-5.24
Kerry Kittles	60	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	3	-9	16.0	16.6	-0.59	16.9	16.2	0.74
Lucious Harris	31	29	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	9	-21	17.8	15.3	2.47	15.1	17.5	-2.47

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	56	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-11	25	17.1	16.0	1.11	17.5	13.7	3.85
Desmond Mason	53	53	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	1	1	15.7	18.4	-2.69	15.3	17.5	-2.17
Marcus Haislip	27	28	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-6	15	14.4	17.7	-3.29	17.4	15.6	1.80
Erick Strickland	22	21	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	-5	13	14.2	17.6	-3.39	17.0	16.0	0.98
Michael Redd	59	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	5	-7	17.0	16.1	0.89	16.1	16.4	-0.36
Toni Kukoc	46	46	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.45	-7	10	-17	16.5	17.0	-0.54	14.8	17.7	-2.84
Joe Smith	54	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	7	-11	17.7	15.0	2.71	15.7	17.0	-1.25
Daniel Santiago	16	16	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	-4	11	12.8	17.6	-4.78	18.1	15.8	2.35
Damon Jones	28	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.21	-8	11	-19	17.0	16.6	0.37	14.0	17.3	-3.29
Brian Skinner	31	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.06	1	2	-1	19.3	15.3	4.00	16.9	15.8	1.15
Tim Thomas	43	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.06	-5	8	-13	18.2	15.2	3.01	16.8	15.6	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.83,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.76,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 107, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.94,1,1	91.3%
DAL 85, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.67,0.52,0.84,0.8,0.58,1	90.4%
ATL 86, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.8,0.6,0.54,0.36,0.45,0.84,1	90.4%