NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	85		Excitement	8.4 [166]		MVP	Cedric Ceballos (PHX): +16.2%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	3.5 [651]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -40.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bubba Wells	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Samaki Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	11	56%	-0.00	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.08
Robert Pack	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	13	38%	0.04	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	12	48%	-0.06	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.21	-0.03	-0.17	0.01	16	53%	-0.13	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Khalid Reeves	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	6	35%	-0.10	3	-0.12	5	40%	-0.09

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	7	87%	0.18	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.02	12	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.08	-0.01	9	33%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.05	0.01	17	53%	0.11	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	9	65%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.41,-0.4	-0.40	-0.21	-0.20	-0.01	22	40%	-0.20	7	-0.20	6	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.4	24.3	14.8	24.3	2.4	32.4	121.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +32.2%

DAL -3.7%

DAL -4.2%

PHX +31.5%

DAL -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.7	15.2	15.6	91.4	98.9	102.5
season	15.8	15.0		98.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.5		100.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.8	14.5	15.1	16.6	15.7
PHX	14.5	14.8	13.7	18.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bubba Wells	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-7	7	0.0	15.7	-15.72	13.0	15.3	-2.27
Khalid Reeves	40	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.31	8	-15	23	15.5	15.9	-0.39	15.0	15.4	-0.44
A.C. Green	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-11	15	16.1	15.4	0.74	14.7	15.7	-1.07
Robert Pack	41	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.17	-13	6	-19	15.7	15.7	0.02	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Shawn Bradley	75	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-5	3	14.9	19.1	-4.14	15.4	14.7	0.66
Hubert Davis	52	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-11	15	15.7	15.7	0.02	15.8	14.4	1.40
Michael Finley	88	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	15.8	14.8	0.97	15.1	18.2	-3.12
Dennis Scott	59	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	8	-23	15.7	15.7	-0.02	15.7	14.5	1.26
Samaki Walker	67	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	9	-25	16.4	13.9	2.49	15.3	15.1	0.14

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	26	27	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.47	5	2	3	15.8	15.0	0.78	17.0	15.2	1.86
Cedric Ceballos	44	46	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-4	15	14.3	16.1	-1.76	14.8	16.6	-1.73
Steve Nash	55	55	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.38	1	6	-5	15.8	14.5	1.26	16.4	14.7	1.75
Jason Kidd	87	88	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	7	-7	15.2	16.0	-0.80	15.1	26.8	-11.71
Rex Chapman	78	77	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	2	3	15.4	14.5	0.85	15.2	18.0	-2.75
Antonio McDyess	68	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	1	5	15.8	13.6	2.20	15.8	15.4	0.44
George McCloud	36	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	1	5	14.4	15.8	-1.45	17.4	14.6	2.77
Hot Rod Williams	2	1	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	3	1	1.5	15.5	-14.05	5.0	15.8	-10.84
Clifford Robinson	69	69	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.16	-3	10	-13	15.4	14.8	0.61	15.7	15.8	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.67,0.52,0.84,0.8,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 109, MIN 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.68,0.91,1	91.2%
NJN 83, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.83,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.76,0.84,1	90.4%
MIA 65, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.92,1	90.1%