NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	109		Excitement	9.3 [126]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +44.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	5.1 [306]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -21.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24	0.13	0.08	-0.03	14	67%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	10	85%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	5	86%	0.14	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Allen Crabbe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	14	47%	-0.00	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Meyers Leonard	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.13,0.05,-0.1	0.05	-0.14	0.01	21	49%	-0.10	0	0.00	9	89%	0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.45	0.45	0.16	0.30	0.02	25	63%	0.48	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	7	65%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.01	24	56%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	8	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.13	-0.00	8	60%	0.03	2	-0.14	4	75%	-0.03
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	7	48%	-0.04	5	-0.17	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.4	27.6	15.4	28.4	2.5	35.9	133.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +20.4%

POR -1.2%

MIN +42.1%

POR -19.3%

MIN +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	14.8	118.5	122.2	107.7
season	14.9	15.3		108.6	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.8	14.4	17.9	13.7	16.1
MIN	15.5	15.0	14.0	17.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	67	67	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.05	1	-2	3	16.4	15.3	1.07	16.2	13.7	2.48
Al-Farouq Aminu	68	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.47	13	-14	27	15.6	17.5	-1.84	15.4	15.9	-0.45
Allen Crabbe	57	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.38	6	-7	13	15.9	16.5	-0.63	15.0	16.4	-1.35
Meyers Leonard	21	21	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	9	-19	17.2	15.8	1.42	16.3	15.3	0.97
Damian Lillard	73	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	0	-1	16.6	14.1	2.58	15.7	15.0	0.68
CJ McCollum	68	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.52	1	-2	3	15.4	18.2	-2.80	16.4	13.2	3.18
Evan Turner	55	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.44	-2	1	-3	15.9	16.4	-0.51	14.0	17.6	-3.57
Noah Vonleh	51	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.13	-13	12	-25	16.6	15.5	1.14	15.4	15.7	-0.34

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	69	71	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.52	10	-9	19	15.4	16.0	-0.53	17.1	12.7	4.45
Gorgui Dieng	72	73	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-6	13	15.5	15.7	-0.15	16.9	13.0	3.90
Ricky Rubio	73	73	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-6	13	15.7	15.1	0.60	16.9	13.0	3.90
Brandon Rush	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	2	-3	16.1	13.8	2.34	16.3	15.6	0.70
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	71	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	4	-7	16.2	12.9	3.25	16.4	15.2	1.11
Omri Casspi	23	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	0	1	14.0	16.1	-2.13	14.6	16.7	-2.12
Shabazz Muhammad	27	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	3	-5	14.8	15.9	-1.04	14.2	16.9	-2.71
Kris Dunn	12	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	4	-7	14.0	15.8	-1.78	13.4	16.6	-3.15
Adreian Payne	13	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	4	-7	14.9	15.6	-0.73	13.4	16.6	-3.15
Tyus Jones	21	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	9	-17	15.5	15.6	-0.03	13.7	16.9	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.68,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 85, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.67,0.52,0.84,0.8,0.58,1	91.2%
WAS 106, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.76,0.89,0.95,0.92,1	90.4%
MIN 104, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	90.4%