NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	106		Excitement	8.1 [210]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +27.6%
New Jersey Nets	109		Comeback	3.4 [476]		LVP	Roger Mason Jr. (WAS): -15.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	19	57%	0.12	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Caron Butler	0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.04	0.01	19	67%	0.15	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Nick Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.00	8	75%	0.14	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Darius Songaila	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	14	40%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.12	-0.00	15	60%	0.28	0	0.00	13	92%	0.07
Sean Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.15	-0.01	10	64%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.08	0.02	16	56%	0.17	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	19	52%	0.09	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.06
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.8	14.8	31.3	1.8	29.2	134.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +49.1%

NJN +19.8%

WAS -19.9%

NJN +11.7%

WAS -10.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NJN	NBA	WAS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.6	16.2	15.4	116.5	121.1	105.7
season	16.1	15.4		106.8	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.5		107.1	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.3	14.3	17.6	15.3	15.6
NJN	15.3	16.4	15.1	18.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	52	51	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.01	4	-7	11	15.2	16.1	-0.87	16.2	16.3	-0.06
Andray Blatche	28	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-2	1	16.0	15.4	0.57	17.3	15.7	1.62
Dominic McGuire	9	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-1	-1	15.4	15.6	-0.18	18.1	16.0	2.11
Mike Wilks	15	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	14.5	15.8	-1.36	16.1	16.3	-0.19
Darius Songaila	18	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	3	-9	15.8	15.5	0.29	16.3	16.2	0.09
Antawn Jamison	80	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.41	5	-8	13	15.7	15.1	0.58	16.4	14.7	1.73
Brendan Haywood	61	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-4	5	15.5	15.7	-0.19	15.6	17.3	-1.69
Nick Young	51	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	15.6	15.6	0.01	17.2	15.1	2.11
Caron Butler	75	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	1	-5	15.8	14.9	0.89	15.7	18.3	-2.55
Roger Mason Jr.	66	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	4	-11	15.7	15.2	0.50	15.6	17.8	-2.18

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	62	62	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.36	15	-12	27	16.1	16.4	-0.30	16.2	14.4	1.75
Jason Kidd	70	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	15.9	17.2	-1.32	16.2	13.8	2.40
Sean Williams	62	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	6	-9	16.7	15.2	1.46	15.8	15.0	0.85
Bostjan Nachbar	54	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.50	-4	7	-11	17.2	14.8	2.36	14.7	17.0	-2.27
Vince Carter	78	79	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	4	-5	16.0	17.7	-1.67	15.5	16.5	-1.03
Malik Allen	34	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-6	15	15.3	16.8	-1.49	16.0	15.3	0.69
Billy Thomas	2	2	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	1	1	18.5	16.2	2.33	6.5	15.8	-9.31
Darrell Armstrong	2	3	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	3	-3	18.5	16.2	2.33	8.3	15.9	-7.52
Marcus Williams	18	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	4	-5	17.1	16.0	1.11	14.7	15.8	-1.17
Jason Collins	8	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	5	-7	17.1	16.1	0.99	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Josh Boone	60	57	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	7	-11	15.6	17.4	-1.82	16.0	15.0	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.76,0.89,0.95,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.77,0.91,1	92.3%
NJN 88, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.1%
MIL 94, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.56,0.72,0.92,0.98,1	91.9%