NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	9.6 [74]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +83.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	111		Comeback	1.9 [776]		LVP	Horace Grant (LAL): -17.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	6	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	7	82%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,0,0,-0.18,-0.13,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	25	55%	0.11	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.08
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	20	52%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	9	33%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.17	-0.02	-0.16	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.84	0.84	0.17	0.65	-0.01	22	73%	0.89	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	14	67%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.05
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	8	72%	0.14	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	7	75%	0.07	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	12	43%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	12	29%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	27.1	15.7	23.1	2.7	35.0	132.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +80.2%

LAL -7.6%

LAL -17.2%

LAL -6.9%

SEA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	15.7	109.0	111.0	100.5
season	15.4	15.6		102.8	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.9	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	13.6	16.3	13.6	14.4
SEA	14.6	14.1	13.7	15.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	30	31	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.03	7	-9	16	13.5	14.8	-1.30	15.2	14.1	1.07
Luke Walton	4	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-2	2	19.7	14.2	5.59	16.0	14.3	1.66
Derek Fisher	30	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-6	10	13.9	14.6	-0.69	14.7	14.3	0.38
Brian Cook	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-1	0	12.0	14.5	-2.53	9.3	14.7	-5.41
Devean George	64	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-2	2	14.4	14.4	0.03	15.0	13.4	1.57
Horace Grant	60	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-2	2	15.6	12.6	3.01	14.9	13.7	1.22
Kobe Bryant	75	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-6	10	14.6	13.7	0.93	14.8	13.5	1.30
Gary Payton	86	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-3	4	14.1	16.3	-2.22	14.5	14.1	0.32
Kareem Rush	43	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	11	-24	13.7	14.9	-1.16	12.1	16.0	-3.89
Slava Medvedenko	61	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	8	-18	14.8	13.7	1.09	14.5	14.2	0.27
Bryon Russell	41	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	0	-2	13.7	14.8	-1.10	14.1	14.7	-0.59

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richie Frahm	10	10	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.51	9	-7	16	13.1	14.6	-1.47	12.7	14.6	-1.87
Vladimir Radmanovic	72	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.47	1	1	0	14.3	14.8	-0.51	14.8	13.4	1.37
Brent Barry	69	68	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	-3	8	14.4	14.4	0.05	14.4	14.4	-0.04
Ray Allen	80	82	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	1	0	14.7	13.3	1.40	14.5	13.9	0.60
Rashard Lewis	81	79	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	-2	6	14.5	14.2	0.32	14.5	14.0	0.54
Calvin Booth	28	29	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	-1	4	12.8	15.1	-2.27	13.6	14.7	-1.17
Luke Ridnour	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	5	-8	14.4	14.4	-0.05	14.4	14.4	0.04
Vitaly Potapenko	46	46	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.10	6	-4	10	15.0	13.9	1.03	15.7	13.2	2.52
Ronald Murray	45	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	3	-4	13.7	15.0	-1.37	13.5	15.1	-1.57
Jerome James	3	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	5	-8	20.0	14.2	5.75	18.5	14.2	4.29
Reggie Evans	35	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.16	-12	14	-26	15.4	13.9	1.46	13.1	15.1	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 109, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.41,1	92.2%
PHX 106, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.72,1	91.2%
LAL 109, UTA 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.59,1	90.8%