NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	8.8 [143]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +27.2%
Utah Jazz	113		Comeback	1.7 [513]		LVP	CJ Miles (UTA): -9.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	61%	0.15	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,0.05,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	33	50%	0.19	4	-0.21	8	100%	0.07
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	53%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	0.06	-0.07	0.04	7	65%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Luke Walton	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.27	0.27	0.04	0.21	-0.02	14	71%	0.43	5	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.10	0.00	17	69%	0.33	3	-0.10	11	64%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.04	0.20	-0.00	9	45%	0.25	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.01	10	62%	0.08	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.09
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.00	3	78%	0.07	1	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.04	-0.08	0.06	12	61%	0.00	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.7	29.9	15.0	30.6	2.0	41.0	144.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +70.3%

UTA +5.8%

LAL -6.8%

LAL -16.3%

LAL -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	14.3	15.5	111.2	116.5	106.4
season	14.9	15.3		110.6	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.4	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	13.3	16.2	15.4	15.2
UTA	16.0	15.5	12.2	13.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	36	36	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.04	6	-10	16	15.5	15.1	0.41	14.7	14.1	0.64
Luke Walton	36	36	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-6	8	15.5	15.0	0.45	14.7	14.1	0.60
Jordan Farmar	31	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-1	-2	15.6	15.0	0.54	15.4	13.8	1.67
Derek Fisher	67	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-3	2	15.0	15.6	-0.54	13.8	15.4	-1.67
Josh Powell	26	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	2	-8	16.0	14.9	1.12	15.8	13.8	2.02
Lamar Odom	84	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-5	6	14.7	18.1	-3.42	14.0	16.1	-2.05
Pau Gasol	86	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.29	-3	-1	-2	15.4	13.6	1.86	14.1	15.5	-1.32
Kobe Bryant	76	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-3	2	14.8	16.6	-1.83	14.4	14.2	0.13
Trevor Ariza	48	48	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.35	-15	11	-26	15.5	15.0	0.48	13.7	14.9	-1.25

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	61	62	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.29	15	-11	26	13.5	15.8	-2.32	15.1	15.4	-0.28
CJ Miles	66	66	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.18	15	-11	26	13.6	15.9	-2.28	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Mehmet Okur	93	93	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.37	8	-4	12	14.2	17.7	-3.58	15.5	10.6	4.86
Deron Williams	87	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.40	5	-1	6	14.4	13.2	1.25	15.3	14.7	0.55
Kyle Korver	59	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.66	-7	11	-18	14.7	13.7	1.00	14.4	16.6	-2.19
Ronnie Price	10	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	5	-6	13.2	14.4	-1.25	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Ronnie Brewer	69	70	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	4	-4	14.7	13.4	1.25	16.4	12.1	4.30
Kosta Koufos	6	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	8	-12	13.5	14.4	-0.87	9.9	15.6	-5.77
Matt Harpring	34	34	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.05	-11	15	-26	16.4	13.2	3.22	15.8	14.9	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 87, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.87,0.76,0.6,0.74,0.78,0.94,0.91,1	91.7%
POR 76, SAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.9,0.85,1	91.6%
DET 90, GSW 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.53,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,1	91.6%