NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	76		Excitement	6.4 [320]		MVP	Greg Anthony (POR): +16.7%
San Antonio Spurs	80		Comeback	1.2 [508]		LVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): -18.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	3	125%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	3	133%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.08	0.13	-0.04	0.01	20	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Stacey Augmon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	14	45%	-0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	7	31%	-0.08	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	16	60%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	15	54%	0.04	3	-0.14	9	56%	-0.07
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	12	36%	-0.03	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	114.2	2.7	30.3	17.7	27.1	2.6	49.2	243.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -3.3%

SAS +13.2%

SAS +12.0%

SAS +16.9%

SAS +11.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	18.6	17.1	15.8	95.0	98.8	99.6
season	16.0	15.9		102.0	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.9		92.7	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.2	17.6	18.5	20.4	18.6
SAS	17.0	17.6	17.5	16.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	49	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-4	4	17.9	19.8	-1.91	17.0	17.4	-0.43
Stacey Augmon	30	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-7	10	18.5	18.7	-0.17	16.3	17.6	-1.35
Isaiah Rider	54	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-8	12	18.3	19.4	-1.16	17.4	16.5	0.90
Walt Williams	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-5	6	17.9	19.0	-1.07	17.5	17.0	0.56
Rasheed Wallace	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-7	10	18.1	22.0	-3.90	17.4	15.6	1.75
Jim Jackson	27	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	6	-16	18.7	18.6	0.16	16.0	17.7	-1.67
Arvydas Sabonis	42	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	9	-22	20.2	16.9	3.22	17.3	16.9	0.43
Brian Grant	71	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	0	-4	18.8	17.2	1.59	17.2	16.7	0.54
Greg Anthony	31	32	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	0	-4	19.8	17.9	1.91	17.4	17.0	0.43

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	64	62	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-9	22	17.7	14.9	2.87	18.6	18.7	-0.04
Avery Johnson	71	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-5	14	17.4	15.2	2.22	19.1	16.0	3.06
Tim Duncan	79	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-4	12	16.9	26.5	-9.59	18.6	21.5	-2.94
Mario Elie	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	-3	10	17.9	15.6	2.30	18.8	18.3	0.49
Sean Elliott	54	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	5	-6	17.5	16.4	1.17	18.6	18.6	-0.00
Jaren Jackson	36	34	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	2	0	16.4	17.7	-1.32	18.3	18.9	-0.60
Jerome Kersey	16	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	4	-4	15.0	17.7	-2.68	18.9	18.6	0.28
Will Perdue	9	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	8	-12	14.4	17.5	-3.04	18.2	18.7	-0.47
Antonio Daniels	10	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	9	-14	15.2	17.4	-2.22	16.0	19.1	-3.06
Malik Rose	10	11	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	13	-22	17.6	17.1	0.52	19.5	18.5	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.9,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.92,1	93.2%
ATL 63, CLE 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.99,1	93.0%
IND 88, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.7%