NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	11.4 [18]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +24.2%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	3.5 [596]		LVP	Raul Lopez (UTA): -42.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05	-0.06	0.10	-0.01	15	55%	0.15	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02
Milt Palacio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Lonny Baxter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Bosh	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Vince Carter	-0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.07,0.05,-0.17	-0.04	-0.11	0.02	25	54%	0.05	5	-0.22	6	83%	0.03
Alvin Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.00	-0.15	0.02	10	52%	-0.17	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.05	-0.20	-0.01	13	42%	-0.07	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.19	0.00	11	73%	0.35	3	-0.11	4	25%	-0.16
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	10	60%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	11	65%	0.32	6	-0.29	4	100%	0.05
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	13	43%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	8	45%	-0.01	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.03
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	10	19%	-0.17	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.34,-0.43	-0.43	-0.09	-0.36	-0.03	12	37%	-0.22	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	28.1	14.8	25.2	2.4	34.2	0.2	15.1	148.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.4%

UTA +0.9%

UTA +58.2%

TOR -26.9%

TOR -12.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	UTA	NBA	TOR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	16.8	15.7	93.1	98.0	100.5
season	16.8	17.2		94.8	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.8	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	15.4	13.3	14.5	16.8	15.2	15.0
UTA	16.6	16.7	18.2	16.0	16.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	23	23	0.61	-1.11	1.72	0.38	8	-11	19	12.1	15.9	-3.77	17.1	16.7	0.41
Morris Peterson	29	27	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.03	8	-11	19	13.9	15.5	-1.60	17.4	16.6	0.86
Lonny Baxter	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-2	1	15.2	15.0	0.18	15.0	16.9	-1.94
Michael Curry	42	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	2	-7	14.5	15.3	-0.82	17.9	16.1	1.90
Vince Carter	91	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.46	0	-3	3	15.1	14.4	0.67	16.1	22.9	-6.85
Alvin Williams	82	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.46	-4	1	-5	14.5	16.9	-2.40	16.4	18.6	-2.24
Jalen Rose	89	88	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.42	-8	5	-13	15.6	10.2	5.39	17.0	15.7	1.23
Donyell Marshall	67	67	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.39	-11	8	-19	16.0	13.0	2.97	17.3	15.8	1.44
Chris Bosh	76	76	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.70	-2	-1	-1	15.3	14.0	1.38	16.8	16.8	-0.01

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	89	89	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.47	9	-6	15	17.1	14.5	2.58	15.5	11.2	4.35
Raja Bell	53	53	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.49	7	-4	11	16.4	17.3	-0.99	15.1	14.9	0.24
Raul Lopez	55	56	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.46	6	-3	9	16.3	17.4	-1.06	15.0	15.0	0.04
Matt Harpring	78	80	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.49	-1	4	-5	16.3	18.9	-2.65	14.5	16.8	-2.22
Ben Handlogten	30	29	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.08	9	-6	15	18.7	16.0	2.70	16.2	14.5	1.64
Jarron Collins	69	72	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.28	-6	9	-15	16.0	18.7	-2.70	14.5	16.2	-1.64
Carlos Arroyo	44	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	6	-9	17.4	16.3	1.06	15.0	15.0	-0.04
DeShawn Stevenson	53	54	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	7	-11	17.2	16.4	0.80	14.6	15.5	-0.96
Sasha Pavlovic	24	27	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.15	-2	5	-7	17.9	16.5	1.39	15.3	14.9	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 115, GSW 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.64,0.43,0.85,0.54,0.38,0.37,0.57,0.73,1	89.5%
SEA 87, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.36,0.69,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.16,1	88.9%
MEM 112, PHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.83,1	88.6%