NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Excitement	8.5 [162]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +10.3%
Dallas Mavericks	92		Comeback	6.4 [336]		LVP	Antoine Walker (DAL): -38.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	14	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Kevin Garnett	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	20	61%	0.05	6	-0.15	6	83%	-0.04
Gary Trent	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.02	-0.16	0.00	7	36%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	17	39%	-0.10	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.15,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.11	0.01	23	49%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.11	-0.00	13	50%	0.16	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	56%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	18	38%	-0.26	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.07
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.42,-0.38	-0.38	-0.22	-0.17	-0.01	18	20%	-0.34	1	-0.04	4	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	27.9	17.3	23.6	2.2	33.7	129.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -14.0%

DAL +9.0%

DAL +37.3%

DAL +16.4%

DAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	15.7	91.7	95.8	100.5
season	15.6	14.6		103.2	109.2
opponent	15.6	16.1		105.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	14.5	16.7	13.3	14.7
DAL	14.9	14.9	14.6	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	62	61	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.29	14	-18	32	14.6	14.9	-0.27	16.8	12.5	4.32
Trenton Hassell	62	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-4	4	14.3	15.6	-1.36	14.7	16.3	-1.57
Latrell Sprewell	77	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.41	7	-11	18	14.7	15.1	-0.39	15.8	12.9	2.85
Keith McLeod	18	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-1	-2	15.1	14.7	0.46	15.2	15.3	-0.05
Quincy Lewis	6	6	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	3	-10	16.7	14.6	2.06	11.8	15.5	-3.66
Sam Cassell	78	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-3	2	14.7	15.1	-0.46	15.3	15.2	0.05
Kevin Garnett	80	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-1	-2	14.5	16.1	-1.59	15.0	16.9	-1.98
Fred Hoiberg	48	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	3	-10	15.0	14.5	0.52	15.4	15.1	0.22
Gary Trent	49	48	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.14	-20	16	-36	15.5	13.9	1.62	14.0	16.6	-2.60

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	52	51	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.31	21	-17	38	14.0	16.7	-2.75	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Antawn Jamison	65	64	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.29	19	-15	34	15.0	15.9	-0.95	15.1	14.1	1.02
Michael Finley	88	88	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-4	12	15.2	15.6	-0.40	15.0	12.0	2.99
Travis Best	29	28	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.16	13	-9	22	14.7	15.5	-0.77	16.7	13.9	2.84
Antoine Walker	76	77	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.27	-8	12	-20	15.5	14.4	1.02	14.6	15.5	-0.92
Shawn Bradley	34	33	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	7	-10	15.1	15.4	-0.27	14.9	14.6	0.30
Eduardo Najera	41	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	8	-12	16.7	14.2	2.48	15.5	14.2	1.31
Steve Nash	68	69	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.26	-10	14	-24	15.3	15.2	0.01	13.7	17.3	-3.56
Tony Delk	27	27	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.06	-16	20	-36	16.6	14.8	1.80	14.0	15.0	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.45,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 86, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.95,1	92.5%
NYK 100, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.37,0.32,0.54,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.55,0.57,0.85,1	92.0%
OKC 122, PHX 128	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.32,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.39,0.37,0.68,0.85,1	92.0%