NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	8.0 [248]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +12.3%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	7.6 [357]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -15.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	13	54%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Othella Harrington	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.05,0.13,0.09,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	23	52%	0.06	2	-0.06	8	87%	-0.01
Travis Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.01	-0.15	0.00	4	79%	-0.00	2	-0.14	6	67%	-0.06
Charlie Ward	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16	-0.02	-0.14	-0.00	13	54%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	13	68%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,0.06,0.11	0.11	-0.08	0.19	0.01	23	47%	0.21	2	-0.11	13	69%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	93%	0.19	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	79%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	16	59%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	29.3	16.6	25.2	2.5	39.4	138.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +36.1%

ORL +5.5%

ORL +11.9%

NYK -6.8%

ORL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.5	109.9	114.4	101.6
season	15.6	14.6		102.6	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.1	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.5	14.7	17.2	16.4	16.2
ORL	15.5	16.6	15.5	14.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	52	54	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.03	9	-12	21	16.2	16.2	-0.03	16.6	14.2	2.44
Lee Nailon	2	2	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-6	9	11.5	16.3	-4.79	11.5	15.7	-4.23
Howard Eisley	47	47	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-4	5	16.8	15.5	1.24	15.4	15.9	-0.52
Allan Houston	73	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-8	13	15.9	17.2	-1.29	16.0	14.2	1.76
Kurt Thomas	65	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.44	5	-8	13	16.0	16.7	-0.76	15.4	16.2	-0.73
Shandon Anderson	41	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-3	3	15.9	16.4	-0.52	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Michael Doleac	24	23	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	13	-29	16.9	15.9	0.93	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Travis Knight	23	21	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	8	-19	17.3	15.8	1.55	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Charlie Ward	44	43	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	1	-5	15.5	16.8	-1.24	15.9	15.4	0.52
Latrell Sprewell	84	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.38	-7	4	-11	16.3	14.6	1.75	15.5	17.7	-2.26

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	48	51	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.39	18	-15	33	14.4	17.1	-2.74	17.5	14.5	3.05
Darrell Armstrong	63	65	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-10	23	15.1	16.8	-1.69	16.6	15.2	1.45
Tracy McGrady	81	82	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-8	19	15.7	15.0	0.70	16.2	15.9	0.33
Pat Garrity	79	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.44	5	-2	7	15.3	18.0	-2.70	16.5	13.9	2.61
Jacque Vaughn	59	58	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	2	-1	15.7	15.4	0.33	16.4	15.8	0.63
Mike Miller	61	61	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.26	-11	14	-25	16.2	14.4	1.85	15.6	17.3	-1.66
Pat Burke	11	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	5	-7	18.0	15.3	2.70	13.9	16.5	-2.61
Jeryl Sasser	15	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.09	-8	11	-19	16.2	15.5	0.68	15.1	16.4	-1.26
Shawn Kemp	33	32	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.07	-12	15	-27	16.7	15.0	1.73	14.2	17.2	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.37,0.32,0.54,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.55,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 86, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.95,1	92.7%
MIN 88, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.45,0.77,0.92,1	92.0%
LAL 90, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.83,0.85,1	90.6%