inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 86 Excitement8.0 [215] MVPTony Battie (DEN): +4.0%
Boston Celtics 96 Comeback5.1 [328] LVPBobby Jackson (DEN): -28.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Battie0.040,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.000.02978%0.102-0.0600%0.00
Eric Washington0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.01865%0.072-0.06475%-0.00
Anthony Goldwire-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01442%-0.022-0.05475%-0.00
Dean Garrett-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.04-0.01755%0.063-0.14683%0.04
Danny Fortson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.00750%-0.032-0.06425%-0.04
LaPhonso Ellis-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.02-0.10-0.02853%-0.062-0.041100%0.00
Bryant Stith-0.230,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23-0.15-0.10-0.02841%-0.025-0.21683%0.05
Johnny Newman-0.240,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24,-0.24-0.11-0.15-0.021138%-0.033-0.214100%0.02
Bobby Jackson-0.290,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.00637%-0.068-0.224100%0.03

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ron Mercer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.07,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.04-0.011844%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Travis Knight0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.02-0.001553%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Dana Barros00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pervis Ellison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.001054%0.042-0.054100%0.02
Greg Minor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.050.01850%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.120.05-0.011546%0.044-0.111191%0.06
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.05-0.03840%-0.051-0.024100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.020.01750%-0.042-0.04450%-0.03
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.050.0020%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Tyus Edney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.10-0.08-0.00440%-0.024-0.162100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.529.815.027.32.338.5142.4
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN -9.4%
DEN -12.9%
BOS +7.2%
BOS +67.1%
DEN -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENBOSNBADENBOSNBA
this game14.914.215.686.997.0102.5
season16.215.196.7100.2
opponent15.115.2103.0109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.613.914.315.814.9
BOS14.413.816.212.314.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Johnny Newman6059-0.04-0.460.410.02-2-8615.514.11.4214.313.90.34
Tony Battie5656-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-6214.915.0-0.1515.412.62.82
Eric Washington2726-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-101014.315.2-0.9414.014.2-0.15
Dean Garrett8584-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.343-131615.511.63.9214.412.71.75
Bryant Stith7273-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.02-100-1014.815.4-0.6414.214.10.10
LaPhonso Ellis4544-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.28-3-7414.914.9-0.0112.715.3-2.65
Bobby Jackson8484-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.08-100-1014.716.1-1.3314.512.42.06
Danny Fortson3436-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.10-122-1414.515.2-0.6713.314.6-1.29
Anthony Goldwire3233-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.13-122-1414.515.1-0.6513.214.6-1.36

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen47460.76-0.261.010.1720-103013.115.1-1.9915.614.41.25
Antoine Walker85840.400.100.300.1973414.114.7-0.6614.020.4-6.44
Chauncey Billups54540.380.120.260.1873415.512.62.8915.314.50.79
Dee Brown42430.340.160.180.051001013.814.4-0.6416.214.02.16
Andrew DeClercq15160.300.200.090.1846-214.814.00.7620.813.87.01
Tyus Edney37380.240.26-0.02-0.1714-41812.115.4-3.3114.515.2-0.67
Ron Mercer67670.210.29-0.070.1919-814.413.60.7814.615.7-1.20
Travis Knight61600.160.34-0.180.31-515-2014.413.80.6313.816.6-2.77
Pervis Ellison18170.020.48-0.45-0.0637-414.914.00.9715.814.81.00
Greg Minor56-0.010.51-0.53-0.0419-815.414.11.3114.715.0-0.29
Dana Barros1010-0.110.61-0.73-0.02-313-1612.114.4-2.2811.015.4-4.38
Walter McCarty5454-0.180.68-0.870.08-919-2814.813.31.5015.314.50.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 100, ORL 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.37,0.32,0.54,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.55,0.57,0.85,192.7%
MIN 88, DAL 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.45,0.77,0.92,192.5%
BOS 93, CLE 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.54,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.96,192.3%