NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	122		Excitement	8.4 [209]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (OKC): +23.7%
Phoenix Suns	128		Comeback	15.6 [36]		LVP	Ish Smith (PHX): -10.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.09	0.13	-0.01	11	69%	0.26	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17	0.09	0.04	-0.03	24	62%	0.26	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
Russell Westbrook	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.16	0.20	-0.00	0.04	22	72%	0.30	3	-0.14	6	100%	0.04
Jeremy Lamb	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.09	0.01	11	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Perry Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.16	0.02	13	67%	0.29	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.03
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.25	-0.03	0.01	22	75%	0.32	3	-0.11	11	82%	-0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.06	0.02	7	94%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.12,0.05,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.13	0.01	18	51%	0.17	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.08
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	3	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	8	61%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Archie Goodwin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	28.7	15.7	32.4	2.5	32.3	140.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +23.6%

PHX +9.1%

PHX +21.7%

OKC -4.5%

PHX +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	13.7	15.4	15.1	123.2	129.3	105.2
season	14.4	14.7		107.8	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.4		105.0	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	11.1	14.0	15.3	14.7	13.7
PHX	14.6	16.7	14.1	16.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Perry Jones	21	22	0.38	-0.88	1.25	-0.00	13	-19	32	13.3	13.8	-0.47	16.6	15.1	1.49
Steven Adams	23	24	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.05	12	-18	30	13.1	13.8	-0.69	16.3	15.1	1.19
Russell Westbrook	61	63	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.30	16	-22	38	12.6	15.3	-2.74	16.4	13.7	2.65
Jeremy Lamb	23	23	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.09	-2	-4	2	16.0	12.9	3.11	18.0	14.7	3.29
Serge Ibaka	77	78	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-10	14	13.4	14.7	-1.32	15.6	14.8	0.79
Derek Fisher	44	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-3	0	14.1	13.3	0.86	16.9	14.3	2.60
Nick Collison	22	21	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	4	-14	14.7	13.4	1.32	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Andre Roberson	32	31	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	5	-16	13.4	13.8	-0.37	12.4	16.8	-4.44
Kevin Durant	91	92	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	13.3	17.5	-4.18	15.4	16.4	-1.07
Reggie Jackson	38	36	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.02	-22	16	-38	15.3	12.6	2.74	13.7	16.4	-2.65
Caron Butler	63	62	-0.95	0.45	-1.39	-0.27	-23	17	-40	13.4	14.1	-0.76	14.4	17.2	-2.89

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	57	59	1.33	-0.83	2.16	0.48	29	-23	52	15.1	15.9	-0.82	14.1	13.0	1.14
Markieff Morris	62	62	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.29	13	-7	20	15.0	16.2	-1.29	13.9	13.3	0.62
Gerald Green	85	84	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-5	16	15.0	18.2	-3.24	13.7	13.2	0.54
PJ Tucker	89	89	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	1	4	15.2	17.4	-2.19	13.4	15.9	-2.50
Ish Smith	39	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	-5	16	16.1	15.0	1.14	15.3	12.6	2.69
Shavlik Randolph	10	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	5	-4	17.4	15.2	2.19	15.9	13.4	2.50
Archie Goodwin	7	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	9	-12	17.1	15.3	1.84	12.4	13.8	-1.33
Goran Dragic	72	72	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.25	-14	20	-34	16.0	14.0	2.02	13.0	15.5	-2.56
Alex Len	24	23	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	18	-30	16.3	15.1	1.19	13.1	13.8	-0.69
Channing Frye	50	49	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.02	-11	17	-28	15.2	15.7	-0.47	12.9	14.4	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.32,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.39,0.37,0.68,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.45,0.77,0.92,1	92.0%
NYK 100, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.37,0.32,0.54,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.55,0.57,0.85,1	89.8%
PHI 95, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.44,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.53,0.74,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.29,0.78,0.95,1	89.4%