NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	87		Excitement	7.7 [269]		MVP	Lamar Odom (MIA): +12.6%
Miami Heat	91		Comeback	2.2 [666]		LVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): -24.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	16	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	19	64%	0.25	5	-0.20	6	83%	0.02
Sean Rooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.00	-0.14	0.00	11	46%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	8	28%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25	-0.15	-0.10	-0.00	12	30%	-0.15	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,0.21,0.13	0.13	-0.00	0.10	-0.03	14	61%	0.35	4	-0.23	3	100%	0.02
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.04	-0.02	14	71%	0.14	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.06
Udonis Haslem	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	8	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	11	27%	-0.06	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	496.5	1.6	24.0	14.7	26.4	1.6	33.4	598.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +56.5%

MIA +10.0%

NOH -1.9%

NOH -14.3%

NOH -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIA	NBA	NOH	MIA	NBA
this game	16.6	16.2	15.7	97.8	104.6	100.5
season	16.0	16.2		99.3	99.3
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.8	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.1	17.0	17.5	16.5	16.6
MIA	17.6	15.7	15.9	15.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	27	26	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.12	1	-5	6	16.6	16.5	0.06	16.0	16.2	-0.25
David West	9	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-7	10	17.6	16.4	1.12	14.0	16.4	-2.42
Sean Rooks	10	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	1	-6	15.8	16.6	-0.85	16.1	16.2	-0.07
Stacey Augmon	38	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-1	-2	16.8	16.4	0.42	15.1	16.9	-1.86
George Lynch	49	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-5	6	16.7	16.3	0.41	17.6	14.3	3.34
David Wesley	67	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-5	6	16.7	16.0	0.67	16.4	15.5	0.87
Baron Davis	79	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.44	1	-5	6	16.6	15.8	0.85	16.2	16.1	0.07
P.J. Brown	70	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.45	-2	-2	0	16.5	16.6	-0.10	16.5	15.1	1.41
Darrell Armstrong	34	31	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	8	-20	15.5	17.2	-1.75	14.7	17.0	-2.32
Jamaal Magloire	62	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.50	-5	1	-6	16.5	16.6	-0.06	16.2	16.0	0.25

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	41	44	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-5	14	15.7	16.6	-0.97	17.3	15.8	1.47
Eddie Jones	73	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-5	14	15.8	17.9	-2.01	16.7	15.8	0.90
Loren Woods	50	49	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-14	32	16.3	16.1	0.21	17.5	15.4	2.14
Lamar Odom	81	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-1	6	16.2	16.0	0.19	16.6	16.4	0.13
Samaki Walker	18	17	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-1	6	15.6	16.3	-0.78	19.6	15.8	3.75
Brian Grant	46	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.32	-5	9	-14	15.9	16.5	-0.64	15.6	17.7	-2.12
Udonis Haslem	60	62	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.37	-10	14	-24	16.5	15.4	1.11	15.7	18.5	-2.77
John Wallace	6	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	5	-6	16.0	16.2	-0.19	16.4	16.6	-0.13
Dwyane Wade	60	60	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	14	-24	16.9	14.5	2.40	15.8	18.1	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.6,0.44,0.61,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.83,1	91.8%
SAS 99, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.74,1	91.6%
DEN 100, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.73,1	91.1%