NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	98		Excitement	7.8 [270]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +52.3%
Boston Celtics	105		Comeback	1.7 [810]		LVP	Kendrick Perkins (BOS): -18.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.18	0.10	0.06	-0.02	20	58%	0.20	1	-0.01	13	54%	-0.08
Michael Beasley	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.02	20	52%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
James Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.02	0.08	0.03	6	46%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	13	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	89%	0.12	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.01
Daequan Cook	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	9	28%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.52	0.52	0.20	0.33	0.01	16	78%	0.55	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.07
Glen Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17	0.17	0.00	0.15	-0.01	17	55%	0.23	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.06	0.05	14	64%	0.15	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	6	54%	-0.01	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	15	33%	-0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	32.5	15.7	23.0	1.8	37.4	137.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +32.5%

BOS +6.3%

BOS +4.9%

BOS +4.3%

BOS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BOS	NBA	MIA	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	16.1	15.5	110.1	118.0	106.4
season	16.0	15.8		105.9	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		101.7	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.2	16.5	16.0	17.3	16.2
BOS	16.9	14.8	17.4	15.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	1	1	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-9	11	3.0	16.4	-13.40	23.0	16.0	6.97
Chris Quinn	15	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.01	-1	-6	5	16.4	16.2	0.18	14.1	16.5	-2.38
Daequan Cook	15	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-2	-3	14.1	16.7	-2.62	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Jamaal Magloire	37	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-6	5	16.3	16.2	0.13	14.7	17.1	-2.41
Yakhouba Diawara	57	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-1	-5	15.5	17.5	-1.96	16.1	16.2	-0.08
Mario Chalmers	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-6	5	16.6	14.9	1.70	16.4	15.2	1.19
James Jones	37	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-4	1	16.9	15.7	1.20	15.1	16.9	-1.80
Jermaine O'Neal	66	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	0	-7	16.9	14.5	2.39	16.8	14.0	2.79
Michael Beasley	72	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	0	-7	16.1	16.7	-0.57	16.7	13.9	2.79
Dwyane Wade	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	16.2	16.4	-0.18	16.5	14.1	2.38

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	68	67	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-4	15	16.5	15.0	1.46	16.2	16.5	-0.34
Ray Allen	72	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.31	10	-3	13	16.1	16.2	-0.08	16.5	15.1	1.42
Rajon Rondo	64	63	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-3	13	16.5	15.2	1.32	16.2	16.5	-0.30
Kendrick Perkins	71	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.28	4	3	1	17.0	12.8	4.18	16.6	14.8	1.77
Glen Davis	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	6	-5	16.5	14.9	1.64	16.4	15.7	0.70
Mikki Moore	31	32	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	2	3	16.1	16.1	-0.02	16.4	16.2	0.25
Henry Walker	3	3	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	5	-3	10.7	16.3	-5.64	17.3	16.2	1.12
Tony Allen	22	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	8	-9	13.3	17.0	-3.71	15.4	16.5	-1.13
Stephon Marbury	27	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	14.2	16.9	-2.71	15.6	16.5	-0.88
Eddie House	19	21	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	12	-17	15.9	16.2	-0.21	15.3	16.5	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 87, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.6,0.44,0.61,0.45,0.73,1	91.8%
SAC 81, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.7,0.58,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.84,1	91.4%
CLE 93, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.83,1	91.4%