NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	7.6 [295]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +41.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	88		Comeback	5.1 [347]		LVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): -35.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18	0.04	0.14	-0.00	5	75%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Kwame Brown	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.10	0.00	11	68%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	63%	0.15	1	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02
Etan Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	43%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Brendan Haywood	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Steve Blake	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	9	22%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.02	0.03	20	37%	-0.05	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.36	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29,-0.36,-0.36	-0.16	-0.18	0.02	10	46%	-0.04	7	-0.31	4	50%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.27,0.45,0.42	0.42	0.11	0.31	-0.01	19	62%	0.44	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.02	7	93%	0.17	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	19	52%	0.11	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.03
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	18	58%	0.14	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	7	19%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.7	27.1	15.7	28.2	1.7	36.4	133.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +33.9%

WAS -4.6%

WAS -22.8%

SEA +40.4%

SEA +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SEA	NBA	WAS	SEA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.2	15.7	95.5	98.9	100.5
season	15.2	15.6		96.4	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.9	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.8	18.1	15.5	15.5	16.1
SEA	13.5	18.8	17.2	15.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	69	68	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.16	4	-7	11	15.6	18.1	-2.53	16.4	15.7	0.70
Kwame Brown	61	62	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.05	9	-12	21	16.1	16.1	-0.01	16.6	15.2	1.46
Juan Dixon	42	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.49	14	-17	31	16.5	15.8	0.69	16.0	16.4	-0.33
Steve Blake	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-1	-1	16.9	16.0	0.86	15.0	16.4	-1.43
Brendan Haywood	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	0	-3	15.6	16.4	-0.77	14.4	17.0	-2.60
Christian Laettner	22	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	4	-11	14.9	16.6	-1.69	16.2	16.2	0.05
Jared Jeffries	48	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.43	6	-9	15	16.6	15.6	0.93	16.2	16.2	-0.03
Etan Thomas	58	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.33	1	-4	5	17.0	14.6	2.38	17.9	13.2	4.76
Jarvis Hayes	50	50	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.40	-15	12	-27	15.6	16.8	-1.17	14.7	18.1	-3.38
Larry Hughes	53	55	-1.08	0.58	-1.66	-0.43	-22	19	-41	16.4	15.7	0.65	16.4	15.8	0.61

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	67	66	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.35	18	-15	33	15.2	19.2	-3.96	15.8	17.1	-1.34
Reggie Evans	46	45	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.71	-3	6	-9	16.8	15.6	1.16	16.6	15.7	0.94
Brent Barry	74	74	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-6	15	15.7	18.8	-3.12	16.9	12.5	4.33
Ronald Murray	75	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.37	6	-3	9	16.8	12.9	3.97	16.6	13.5	3.13
Rashard Lewis	79	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-1	5	15.2	23.8	-8.56	16.2	15.6	0.64
Antonio Daniels	23	23	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.33	-5	8	-13	15.8	16.3	-0.51	15.5	16.4	-0.89
Ansu Sesay	11	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	3	-3	17.5	16.0	1.53	14.0	16.4	-2.41
Richie Frahm	2	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	4	-5	0.5	16.6	-16.06	7.0	16.2	-9.24
Vitaly Potapenko	22	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	8	-13	16.7	16.0	0.70	14.9	16.6	-1.67
Luke Ridnour	24	25	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.05	-9	12	-21	19.1	15.1	4.00	14.2	16.9	-2.69
Calvin Booth	45	45	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.32	-4	7	-11	17.2	15.2	1.93	16.4	15.8	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.46,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.85,1	91.9%
CHA 88, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.54,0.77,0.96,1	91.5%
BKN 104, POR 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.91,1	90.5%