NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	88		Excitement	7.1 [373]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +30.3%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	7.1 [208]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -19.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	15	55%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Theo Ratliff	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	59%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Stephen Graham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0,0	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	14	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.19	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	12	31%	-0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	-0.00	12	38%	-0.12	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.16	0.03	12	83%	0.33	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	46%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.11,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	19	59%	0.14	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.03
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	61%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	14	34%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	10	24%	-0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	29%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	26.2	15.7	25.2	2.5	37.5	131.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.7%

CHA -6.1%

CHI +28.6%

CHA -7.0%

CHI +10.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.7	16.2	15.3	102.3	107.9	106.0
season	16.2	14.7		103.0	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.9	16.5	16.9	16.5	16.7
CHI	16.6	17.0	16.6	14.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	27	30	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.09	11	-19	30	15.6	17.2	-1.59	18.2	15.3	2.91
Theo Ratliff	44	46	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.22	5	-13	18	17.4	15.9	1.53	16.4	16.0	0.41
D.J. Augustin	26	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	16.9	16.6	0.28	17.4	15.7	1.63
Stephen Graham	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-4	0	7.0	16.9	-9.92	5.5	16.5	-10.98
Larry Hughes	46	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-9	10	15.1	18.5	-3.34	16.5	15.9	0.66
Stephen Jackson	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	3	-14	19.0	14.3	4.65	16.8	15.7	1.12
Raymond Felton	66	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	1	-10	16.6	17.0	-0.47	15.6	18.3	-2.75
Boris Diaw	69	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	2	-12	17.1	15.1	2.03	15.5	19.4	-3.93
Tyson Chandler	39	40	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.38	-11	3	-14	15.6	17.6	-1.91	16.4	16.1	0.30
Gerald Wallace	67	68	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.59	-12	4	-16	16.7	16.5	0.21	15.9	17.4	-1.50

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	69	67	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.32	17	-9	26	16.3	16.0	0.24	17.6	13.5	4.06
Taj Gibson	78	76	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-5	18	16.2	16.3	-0.04	16.5	17.8	-1.26
Luol Deng	72	69	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-1	10	15.1	21.1	-5.96	17.1	15.0	2.10
Derrick Rose	78	74	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	1	6	15.8	19.4	-3.57	16.3	19.2	-2.98
Brad Miller	37	39	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	5	-2	17.6	15.2	2.42	16.4	16.9	-0.50
Joakim Noah	57	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	3	2	15.4	17.7	-2.36	17.2	15.9	1.26
Ronald Murray	31	31	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.12	-8	16	-24	17.2	15.7	1.52	15.7	17.2	-1.48
Hakim Warrick	23	21	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.23	-6	14	-20	19.7	15.0	4.61	15.1	17.2	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.54,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, SEA 88	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.46,0.68,0.92,1	91.5%
SAS 105, HOU 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.45,0.68,0.96,1	91.2%
CLE 88, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.77,0.84,1	90.5%