NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	9.5 [78]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +60.5%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	5.5 [127]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -31.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.60	0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.6	0.30	0.34	0.03	12	103%	0.60	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0.18	-0.13	0.29	-0.02	17	37%	0.26	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	4	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,-0.05	0.06	-0.11	-0.01	9	61%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	5	42%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.01	-0.14	0.01	12	62%	-0.08	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.17

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.32,0.26,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	8	87%	0.20	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	69%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.10	0.01	13	46%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	14	52%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.05
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	14	47%	0.10	3	-0.14	6	83%	0.03
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.31	-0.31	-0.05	-0.26	0.00	12	58%	-0.14	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	29.2	16.5	28.4	2.4	38.3	141.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +61.6%

NYK -15.2%

NYK -43.1%

IND +44.4%

IND +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	17.2	16.0	15.7	111.8	105.6	100.5
season	16.7	15.5		101.1	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.7		100.8	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	20.7	18.1	15.7	17.2
NYK	16.7	16.3	13.4	17.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	39	44	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.61	9	-8	17	17.4	17.0	0.36	14.2	17.7	-3.44
Reggie Miller	62	65	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-9	19	16.4	19.3	-2.99	17.0	13.3	3.66
Al Harrington	47	51	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	-3	7	17.2	17.1	0.06	15.1	17.2	-2.08
Austin Croshere	32	34	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.36	1	0	1	16.9	17.3	-0.36	16.6	15.5	1.10
Metta World Peace	72	74	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	0	1	16.3	21.8	-5.53	16.1	15.5	0.52
Jermaine O'Neal	60	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	2	-3	17.4	16.7	0.69	16.5	14.8	1.72
Jeff Foster	49	50	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	3	-5	17.0	17.4	-0.39	15.1	17.0	-1.89
Scot Pollard	8	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	4	-7	23.2	16.5	6.72	13.9	16.2	-2.33
Fred Jones	10	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	7	-13	23.6	16.3	7.29	14.2	16.2	-2.04
Kenny Anderson	46	45	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.14	-8	9	-17	17.0	17.4	-0.36	17.7	14.2	3.44

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	75	72	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.27	-6	5	-11	15.9	16.3	-0.38	16.2	22.7	-6.53
Shandon Anderson	10	10	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-6	11	16.8	15.9	0.94	23.3	16.3	6.95
Howard Eisley	41	40	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-2	3	15.7	16.2	-0.53	16.6	17.6	-0.97
Kurt Thomas	64	63	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.32	12	-13	25	15.1	18.2	-3.16	17.8	15.3	2.49
Dikembe Mutombo	63	62	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-5	9	15.9	16.1	-0.21	16.8	18.2	-1.44
Frank Williams	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-1	1	23.5	15.6	7.89	22.0	16.9	5.07
Allan Houston	79	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-6	11	15.4	20.4	-4.99	17.0	18.3	-1.29
Clar. Weatherspoon	7	7	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	3	-7	22.0	15.5	6.55	17.3	17.2	0.13
Michael Doleac	22	19	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	3	-7	16.2	15.9	0.29	18.6	16.7	1.89
Charlie Ward	54	51	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.59	-6	5	-11	16.4	15.2	1.22	17.4	16.8	0.62
Othella Harrington	26	22	-0.98	0.48	-1.46	-0.63	-12	11	-23	16.3	15.8	0.54	15.6	17.7	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.69,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, NYK 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.36,0.69,0.84,0	88.8%
SAC 109, VAN 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.17,0.32,0.16,0.43,0.82,0	88.7%
CHI 101, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.2,0.22,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.58,0	88.0%