NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	9.0 [132]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +59.0%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	10.4 [117]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -23.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.59	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.01,0.59	0.07	0.52	-0.00	16	66%	0.72	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.57	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57	0.30	0.27	-0.00	13	91%	0.57	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	77%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	1	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Trevor Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	14	30%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.23	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23	-0.07	-0.16	0.00	16	53%	0.04	7	-0.27	6	83%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.06	0.22	-0.02	16	53%	0.30	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	7	60%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	6	93%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.09	0.09	0.17	-0.07	0.01	20	67%	0.14	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	8	44%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Metta World Peace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	12	43%	0.04	2	-0.15	6	83%	0.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	7	22%	-0.06	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.0	28.2	16.3	25.8	2.8	37.4	135.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +105.7%

NYK -23.8%

NYK -5.4%

NYK -18.8%

NYK -7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	16.0	15.1	109.7	108.6	105.2
season	15.1	16.0		103.8	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.5		107.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	13.8	16.3	16.5	15.0
NYK	16.4	15.0	15.0	17.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	70	69	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-9	19	14.4	16.8	-2.43	16.0	16.0	0.01
Marcin Gortat	74	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.54	-1	2	-3	15.7	12.2	3.57	16.1	15.6	0.45
Trevor Ariza	65	64	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.48	0	1	-1	15.2	14.6	0.61	16.0	15.8	0.25
Garrett Temple	30	29	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	-6	13	14.1	15.4	-1.33	17.6	15.2	2.35
Jan Vesely	32	33	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	-8	17	13.8	15.6	-1.86	16.8	15.5	1.37
Bradley Beal	57	58	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.51	-6	7	-13	15.6	14.0	1.59	15.8	16.3	-0.56
Kevin Seraphin	13	12	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	-5	11	11.8	15.5	-3.67	15.8	16.0	-0.15
John Wall	63	64	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.21	-6	7	-13	15.4	14.1	1.33	15.2	17.6	-2.35
Trevor Booker	61	64	-0.62	1.12	-1.74	-0.21	-14	15	-29	15.3	14.3	1.00	15.5	16.9	-1.40

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	3	-7	16.3	15.9	0.34	11.9	15.3	-3.40
Iman Shumpert	58	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.38	11	-12	23	16.1	15.8	0.27	15.8	13.5	2.35
J.R. Smith	72	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.36	8	-9	17	15.9	16.1	-0.23	15.5	13.4	2.14
Beno Udrih	57	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.54	14	-15	29	16.2	15.6	0.58	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Amar'e Stoudemire	39	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	1	-3	15.9	16.0	-0.12	13.4	16.1	-2.69
Pablo Prigioni	36	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	14	-29	15.6	16.2	-0.58	15.3	14.8	0.50
Tim Hardaway Jr.	44	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	11	-23	15.9	16.1	-0.20	13.9	16.0	-2.08
Carmelo Anthony	81	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.56	2	-3	5	15.7	17.9	-2.24	15.2	13.5	1.75
Andrea Bargnani	71	71	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.52	-7	6	-13	16.3	14.8	1.57	15.4	13.8	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.36,0.69,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.69,0.73,0	88.8%
CHI 101, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.2,0.22,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.58,0	88.4%
SAC 109, VAN 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.17,0.32,0.16,0.43,0.82,0	87.9%