inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 105 Excitement8.7 [124] MVPJon Barry (DEN): +9.5%
Chicago Bulls 97 Comeback4.4 [140] LVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): -21.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Barry0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.020.08-0.001354%0.0900.00967%-0.01
Earl Boykins0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,0.07-0.080.14-0.001247%0.213-0.15683%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.02-0.040.04-0.022152%0.083-0.07887%0.03
Ryan Bowen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00643%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.00367%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.01743%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Andre Miller-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.03-0.011443%-0.002-0.06771%-0.02
Nene-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.070.010.01563%0.044-0.11989%0.03
Rodney White-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.06-0.00625%-0.052-0.0800%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.090.09-0.000.08-0.01970%0.254-0.16250%-0.01
Eddie Robinson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.00580%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Kendall Gill0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.011173%0.112-0.0500%0.00
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.03-0.03667%0.084-0.0600%0.00
Lonny Baxter0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.020.00560%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Linton Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddy Curry0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.030.011265%0.082-0.09786%0.01
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01643%-0.022-0.072100%0.02
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.020.00617%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21-0.21-0.13-0.08-0.011425%-0.152-0.0700%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22-0.22-0.08-0.15-0.01753%-0.134-0.09560%-0.10
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.328.716.327.22.037.2139.9
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI -6.6%
DEN +21.7%
DEN +18.1%
DEN +13.2%
DEN +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHINBADENCHINBA
this game14.014.115.7102.994.2100.5
season14.915.2101.694.6
opponent15.415.4101.3101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.812.717.612.714.0
CHI14.514.413.913.514.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nene77760.62-0.120.750.3011-31413.316.3-2.9814.213.70.54
Earl Boykins70710.62-0.120.740.3011-31414.113.90.1813.914.5-0.63
Carmelo Anthony92920.53-0.030.550.2310-21214.212.02.2514.113.80.28
Jon Barry82820.52-0.020.540.2310-21213.715.2-1.4614.413.01.40
Andre Miller65650.360.140.230.2544014.313.50.8513.814.5-0.68
Nikoloz Tskitishvili17180.260.240.020.0862413.714.1-0.3913.814.1-0.28
Marcus Camby35350.200.30-0.10-0.0380813.214.4-1.2214.713.70.98
Ryan Bowen1011-0.030.53-0.550.03-210-1212.014.2-2.2513.814.1-0.28
Rodney White1515-0.280.78-1.070.01-1018-2814.913.91.0613.114.2-1.17
Francisco Elson4750-0.300.80-1.10-0.07-816-2415.612.72.9813.914.2-0.29

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Robinson40400.08-0.580.660.051-91013.814.2-0.4415.113.31.80
Corie Blount35340.06-0.560.620.031-91014.713.71.0214.513.80.71
Donyell Marshall5151-0.02-0.480.47-0.227-152213.514.6-1.0715.512.52.96
Linton Johnson43-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-768.014.3-6.3115.314.01.34
Kirk Hinrich5555-0.03-0.470.43-0.185-131812.715.6-2.8414.313.80.49
Jalen Rose6361-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-4014.114.00.1113.814.4-0.68
Lonny Baxter3736-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.08-102-1214.214.00.2712.714.8-2.11
Eddy Curry7071-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.17-91-1014.812.62.1513.814.5-0.61
Kendall Gill6869-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.31-5-3-214.014.2-0.2013.615.0-1.39
Jamal Crawford4847-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.09-135-1815.612.72.8413.814.3-0.49
Scottie Pippen4443-0.610.11-0.71-0.25-124-1613.714.3-0.5613.314.5-1.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 101, MIN 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.09,092.6%
CLE 95, CHI 870.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.49,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.01,092.4%
IND 102, PHI 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.06,0.04,092.0%