NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	7.0 [407]		MVP	Kedrick Brown (CLE): +8.4%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	2.8 [201]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -27.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kedrick Brown	0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	13	61%	0.13	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.04
Eric Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
LeBron James	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	22	57%	0.06	4	-0.12	12	83%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	9	52%	0.01	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.03
Tony Battie	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	6	21%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	54%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	58%	0.02	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	7	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	0.00	12	38%	-0.11	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.15	-0.12	-0.00	27	30%	-0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	26.2	16.3	31.0	1.8	36.5	137.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +67.2%

CHI -1.7%

CHI -10.6%

CHI -11.8%

CLE +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	15.4	15.7	100.0	91.6	100.5
season	15.7	15.2		99.8	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.2	14.0	15.7	13.9	15.0
CHI	14.4	16.6	13.7	16.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	85	84	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-1	10	14.6	18.4	-3.85	15.4	14.9	0.51
Kevin Ollie	49	49	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-1	10	14.1	15.8	-1.73	16.2	14.4	1.83
Tony Battie	44	43	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-4	16	12.5	17.1	-4.54	15.8	15.0	0.83
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	2	4	15.9	11.8	4.10	15.6	14.5	1.07
Ira Newble	64	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	6	-4	15.5	13.9	1.61	15.4	15.4	0.00
Eric Williams	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	2	4	14.3	15.4	-1.05	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Carlos Boozer	72	73	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	10	-12	15.5	13.2	2.30	14.8	17.0	-2.20
J.R. Bremer	6	7	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	5	-2	19.5	14.7	4.85	17.6	15.2	2.39
Kedrick Brown	45	45	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	13	-18	15.8	14.2	1.60	14.1	16.5	-2.41

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	61	59	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.00	5	-13	18	14.8	16.4	-1.55	15.0	14.9	0.07
Eddie Robinson	6	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-6	4	16.7	15.3	1.40	16.9	14.8	2.05
Corie Blount	58	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-9	10	15.6	15.0	0.59	15.4	14.3	1.13
Marcus Fizer	21	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-5	2	15.2	15.4	-0.15	14.2	15.2	-0.99
Linton Johnson	10	11	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-2	-4	15.3	15.4	-0.06	17.7	14.6	3.13
Jamal Crawford	77	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-9	10	15.3	15.8	-0.52	14.6	16.7	-2.11
Antonio Davis	63	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-4	0	15.3	15.6	-0.31	14.7	15.5	-0.73
Rick Brunson	37	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	4	-16	15.1	15.5	-0.36	14.0	15.6	-1.57
Kirk Hinrich	85	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	15.3	15.9	-0.61	15.5	10.6	4.87
Jerome Williams	57	56	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.25	-12	4	-16	16.1	14.2	1.91	14.7	15.4	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.49,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 101, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.09,0	93.7%
IND 102, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.06,0.04,0	93.6%
CLE 119, PHX 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.33,0.38,0.23,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.01,0	92.5%