NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	119		Excitement	7.6 [317]		MVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): +31.1%
Phoenix Suns	111		Comeback	3.5 [469]		LVP	Delonte West (CLE): -15.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.13	0.18	-0.00	9	76%	0.31	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Mo Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.05	0.01	23	60%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	9	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
LeBron James	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.05	-0.00	24	56%	0.15	3	-0.11	13	85%	0.03
JJ Hickson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	7	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.14	0.00	12	56%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	14	70%	0.17	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	14	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.03	0.04	15	65%	0.07	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.00	6	80%	0.13	4	-0.20	3	67%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	12	45%	-0.07	2	-0.03	7	86%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.7	33.0	20.6	29.3	3.8	41.3	156.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +18.6%

CLE +5.1%

CLE +9.1%

CLE +14.1%

CLE +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	17.7	12.2	15.5	122.7	116.8	106.4
season	16.9	14.1		110.6	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.2		109.9	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.6	18.2	16.4	18.8	17.7
PHX	11.2	12.3	12.4	13.1	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	56	55	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.24	16	-8	24	17.2	18.4	-1.20	13.0	11.2	1.81
Wally Szczerbiak	38	37	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-6	20	16.9	18.2	-1.27	12.5	12.1	0.39
Mo Williams	82	78	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-3	14	17.8	17.4	0.38	12.9	8.9	4.07
LeBron James	88	86	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	1	6	17.8	17.0	0.80	11.8	16.7	-4.91
Joe Smith	34	33	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	8	-8	16.9	18.1	-1.20	11.9	12.4	-0.48
Anderson Varejao	66	64	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	5	-2	18.3	16.5	1.87	12.2	12.4	-0.20
JJ Hickson	4	4	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	8	-8	19.7	17.6	2.12	12.7	12.2	0.55
Daniel Gibson	21	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	13	-18	17.3	17.8	-0.56	10.8	12.7	-1.88
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	50	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.18	0	8	-8	17.8	17.7	0.08	12.9	11.5	1.35
Delonte West	46	46	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	14	-20	18.4	17.1	1.36	11.0	13.3	-2.33

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	18	19	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-12	16	11.6	12.4	-0.82	18.8	17.5	1.33
Stromile Swift	9	10	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-8	8	14.7	12.0	2.70	17.3	17.8	-0.47
Lou Amundson	20	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-9	10	10.7	12.6	-1.93	15.7	18.2	-2.48
Grant Hill	80	83	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-8	8	11.8	14.7	-2.90	18.2	14.6	3.60
Goran Dragic	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	13.3	11.9	1.43	15.2	18.5	-3.28
Jason Richardson	60	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.14	-3	-5	2	12.4	12.0	0.40	18.8	15.7	3.10
Steve Nash	71	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-6	4	11.9	13.3	-1.43	18.5	15.2	3.28
Leandro Barbosa	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-4	0	11.5	12.8	-1.21	16.9	18.3	-1.44
Jared Dudley	15	14	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	0	-8	14.7	11.8	2.90	14.6	18.2	-3.60
Matt Barnes	86	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	0	-8	12.0	14.7	-2.70	17.8	17.3	0.47
Shaquille O'Neal	50	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	6	-20	13.5	10.8	2.62	17.4	18.1	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.33,0.38,0.23,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 109, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.16,0	92.7%
CLE 95, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.49,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.01,0	92.5%
MIL 109, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.29,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.4%