NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	101		Excitement	7.8 [310]		MVP	Wayne Selden (MEM): +39.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	2.9 [107]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -20.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Selden	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.13,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.16	0.23	-0.00	14	79%	0.46	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.03	16	59%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kobi Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jarell Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	46%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	5	17%	-0.11	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.03	-0.00	13	69%	0.14	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.08
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	64%	0.14	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.05
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	17	46%	0.04	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Tyus Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	12	40%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.18	-0.00	13	50%	-0.04	3	-0.17	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	22.4	14.7	30.5	1.8	34.4	131.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +69.7%

MIN -22.7%

MIN -7.8%

MEM +13.4%

MIN -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	14.7	111.0	101.1	107.5
season	15.4	15.3		103.4	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.6		110.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.6	16.0	18.3	15.1	15.7
MIN	15.8	14.7	16.0	16.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Selden	52	53	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-3	14	13.1	19.1	-6.03	16.3	15.2	1.15
Andrew Harrison	63	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-2	12	17.1	12.4	4.77	15.2	17.2	-2.01
Jarell Martin	56	57	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-2	12	16.6	14.2	2.42	14.7	17.6	-2.93
JaMychal Green	75	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	5	-2	15.6	16.1	-0.56	16.1	14.2	1.93
Marc Gasol	65	67	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	3	2	16.3	14.0	2.27	14.8	18.6	-3.88
Deyonta Davis	26	25	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	5	-2	14.0	16.3	-2.27	18.6	14.8	3.88
Dillon Brooks	33	33	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	6	-4	17.4	14.7	2.72	17.4	14.9	2.51
Mario Chalmers	28	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	10	-12	12.4	17.1	-4.77	17.2	15.2	2.01
Chandler Parsons	34	35	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	8	-8	15.8	15.6	0.22	14.7	16.5	-1.78
Ben McLemore	16	15	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	8	-8	15.1	15.8	-0.72	16.3	15.7	0.62
Kobi Simmons	7	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	10	-12	21.0	15.2	5.79	14.3	15.9	-1.59

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	83	83	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-12	16	15.2	21.9	-6.73	15.8	14.4	1.41
Andrew Wiggins	83	83	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-12	16	15.2	21.9	-6.73	15.8	14.4	1.41
Gorgui Dieng	28	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-1	-6	17.6	15.0	2.63	12.2	17.2	-4.92
Jeff Teague	81	81	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-9	10	15.1	21.3	-6.20	16.0	12.5	3.55
Tyus Jones	11	10	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	1	-10	21.3	15.1	6.20	12.5	16.0	-3.55
Jamal Crawford	59	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-6	4	15.8	15.9	-0.10	15.0	16.9	-1.91
Nemanja Bjelica	42	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.00	-18	10	-28	17.2	14.7	2.49	16.4	15.1	1.33
Karl-Anthony Towns	73	71	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.33	-13	5	-18	15.9	15.6	0.23	16.9	11.4	5.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.49,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.01,0	93.7%
DEN 100, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.03,0.02,0	93.1%
CLE 100, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.04,0	92.8%