NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	8.3 [197]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +12.9%
Detroit Pistons	87		Comeback	2.2 [254]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -38.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.08	0.01	18	54%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	78%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	8	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	62%	0.16	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	9	56%	0.09	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	5	36%	-0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	9	73%	0.22	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	68%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	6	69%	0.00	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.18	-0.04	-0.01	14	31%	-0.13	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,-0.03,-0.29	-0.29	-0.07	-0.25	-0.03	16	42%	-0.29	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.38	-0.38	-0.15	-0.23	-0.00	17	22%	-0.38	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	31.2	1.8	37.2	145.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +83.5%

DET -21.6%

IND +7.7%

DET -20.8%

IND +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	17.5	15.5	15.7	103.5	97.8	100.5
season	16.7	16.2		101.1	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.7		92.6	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	16.7	18.9	21.8	17.5
DET	15.1	16.0	15.5	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	76	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-4	10	17.2	19.5	-2.28	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Reggie Miller	60	60	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-6	14	17.5	17.5	0.04	15.6	15.2	0.33
Jeff Foster	39	41	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-2	6	18.7	16.5	2.16	15.7	15.2	0.46
Kenny Anderson	57	58	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	-4	10	17.2	18.1	-0.98	15.4	15.6	-0.28
Jermaine O'Neal	62	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	1	0	17.3	18.1	-0.83	15.4	15.5	-0.05
Scot Pollard	36	36	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	0	2	16.4	18.3	-1.94	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Austin Croshere	21	22	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	3	-4	16.8	17.7	-0.96	15.5	15.4	0.11
Jamaal Tinsley	29	31	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	6	-10	18.1	17.2	0.98	15.6	15.4	0.28
Al Harrington	42	45	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.18	-8	10	-18	18.6	16.4	2.21	15.6	15.3	0.33
Fred Jones	8	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	6	-10	17.0	17.5	-0.54	14.1	15.6	-1.50

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zeljko Rebraca	6	5	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-1	0	15.0	15.5	-0.49	26.0	17.0	9.04
Corliss Williamson	30	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-5	8	15.6	15.4	0.21	18.9	16.8	2.07
Elden Campbell	37	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	5	-12	15.9	15.1	0.78	15.9	18.6	-2.75
Chucky Atkins	33	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	3	-8	16.2	15.0	1.19	17.5	17.5	0.09
Mehmet Okur	57	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-5	8	15.5	15.3	0.23	18.7	15.4	3.24
Chauncey Billups	67	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-3	4	15.1	16.7	-1.62	17.7	16.8	0.90
Richard Hamilton	68	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-2	2	15.6	15.1	0.42	16.7	20.0	-3.39
Ben Wallace	78	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-3	4	15.2	17.2	-1.96	16.8	22.4	-5.56
Tayshaun Prince	69	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	3	-8	15.3	15.9	-0.57	17.4	17.6	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.1,0.04,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 105, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.68,0.58,0	90.3%
ORL 95, WAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.7,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.27,0	90.3%
MIN 104, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0	90.2%