inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 95 Excitement8.2 [208] MVPShammond Williams (ORL): +20.6%
Washington Wizards 91 Comeback2.3 [230] LVPJuan Dixon (WAS): -34.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shammond Williams0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.210.130.080.001077%0.2100.002100%0.02
Steven Hunter0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Donnell Harvey0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0.000,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01267%0.021-0.012100%0.01
Drew Gooden0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rod Strickland-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Gordan Giricek-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.020.011547%-0.031-0.022100%0.02
Tyronn Lue-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.090.01-0.00922%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.140,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14-0.04-0.090.001445%-0.111-0.035100%0.04
Zaza Pachulia-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.06-0.00536%-0.082-0.06475%-0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0,-0.09,-0.14-0.10-0.11-0.072547%0.065-0.207100%0.05

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.020.00967%0.081-0.03989%0.03
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.002100%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04-0.040.05-0.080.00667%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.001050%0.032-0.0700%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00464%0.013-0.073100%0.02
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.06-0.01757%0.113-0.1900%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.00517%-0.091-0.042100%0.01
Larry Hughes0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.15-0.07-0.032238%-0.113-0.086100%0.04
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.35-0.35-0.10-0.25-0.001448%-0.095-0.263100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.428.215.422.62.431.6126.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +11.3%
ORL +17.5%
WAS -5.3%
ORL +39.7%
WAS -13.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLWASNBAORLWASNBA
this game15.614.315.7100.092.9100.5
season15.715.2100.996.4
opponent15.315.4102.4108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.416.014.517.415.6
WAS15.014.015.512.814.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Howard76780.490.010.490.297-31015.515.7-0.1614.214.5-0.31
Tyronn Lue79820.480.020.460.306-2815.515.9-0.3814.115.4-1.28
Tracy McGrady70740.430.070.350.4013-215.615.6-0.0014.214.7-0.53
Gordan Giricek83860.380.120.260.0611-71815.913.42.4514.810.83.96
Andrew DeClercq37380.320.180.130.146-2814.716.1-1.3615.713.42.25
Shammond Williams42420.310.190.130.3104-415.915.30.6212.815.4-2.58
Zaza Pachulia49520.250.25-0.000.34-37-1015.915.20.6613.615.1-1.47
Drew Gooden20200.100.40-0.29-0.076-2815.315.6-0.3317.113.63.57
Keith Bogans10-0.020.52-0.530.04-26-81.015.7-14.710.014.3-14.31
Rod Strickland66-0.020.52-0.540.01-15-614.315.6-1.3118.714.04.64
Donnell Harvey44-0.060.56-0.630.02-37-1012.215.7-3.4519.514.15.41
Steven Hunter88-0.160.66-0.820.07-812-2018.415.33.085.715.1-9.32

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Whitney15160.21-0.710.91-0.069-132211.114.9-3.7516.615.31.28
Brendan Haywood16160.20-0.700.91-0.069-132214.114.3-0.2214.515.8-1.27
Jared Jeffries3536-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-4415.013.91.0315.215.7-0.50
Juan Dixon5351-0.13-0.370.24-0.368-122012.915.9-2.9716.314.71.63
Etan Thomas5552-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-2014.314.30.0115.815.30.55
Kwame Brown6967-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.413-71014.314.20.0915.715.10.59
Jarvis Hayes4947-0.33-0.17-0.170.02-128-2014.913.71.2715.415.7-0.35
Steve Blake6966-0.590.09-0.68-0.30-106-1614.713.41.2715.515.7-0.19
Larry Hughes8076-0.660.16-0.82-0.34-117-1814.911.43.5115.316.6-1.28
Christian Laettner4948-0.670.17-0.83-0.26-1410-2414.114.5-0.4515.116.0-0.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.7,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 99, MEM 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.23,0.26,091.6%
DAL 92, SAS 860.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.08,091.6%
TOR 98, MIN 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.17,0.15,091.5%