NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	84		Excitement	6.7 [459]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +8.2%
Sacramento Kings	95		Comeback	3.5 [622]		LVP	Scot Pollard (SAC): -17.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.08	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	10	68%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	13	48%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	55%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
John Amaechi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	8	75%	0.11	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	6	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Scott Padgett	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	9	55%	0.15	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	13	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	39%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	0.00	6	57%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.16,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	9	36%	-0.07	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	28.3	17.6	26.2	3.4	28.6	132.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +12.9%

SAC +0.4%

SAC +21.2%

SAC +15.6%

UTA -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	17.5	14.5	15.5	93.3	105.6	101.6
season	16.3	14.0		103.1	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		98.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.7	19.9	16.8	16.0	17.5
SAC	14.3	15.4	14.5	14.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Amaechi	8	9	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-14	17	20.1	17.2	2.92	15.7	14.4	1.26
John Stockton	25	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-10	9	17.8	17.3	0.52	15.9	14.0	1.89
Calbert Cheaney	33	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-10	9	17.5	17.4	0.08	15.6	13.9	1.65
Karl Malone	33	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-10	9	17.5	17.4	0.08	15.6	13.9	1.65
DeShawn Stevenson	44	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-9	7	17.7	17.2	0.51	14.7	14.4	0.27
Carlos Arroyo	29	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-9	7	17.0	17.7	-0.74	15.5	14.0	1.50
Tony Massenburg	38	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-6	1	16.8	18.0	-1.17	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Mark Jackson	36	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-3	-5	17.6	17.4	0.24	12.7	15.7	-2.98
Matt Harpring	46	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-2	-7	17.2	17.7	-0.51	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Greg Ostertag	44	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-2	-7	17.6	17.4	0.20	14.7	14.4	0.23
Andrei Kirilenko	57	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	17.4	17.5	-0.08	13.9	15.6	-1.65
Scott Padgett	57	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	17.4	17.5	-0.08	13.9	15.6	-1.65

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	51	52	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	4	3	14.2	14.9	-0.69	17.7	17.1	0.58
Peja Stojakovic	52	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	3	5	15.1	13.7	1.38	17.6	17.3	0.35
Gerald Wallace	11	11	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	3	5	13.7	14.6	-0.92	13.7	18.0	-4.26
Scot Pollard	35	34	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	3	5	15.2	14.1	1.04	18.0	17.1	0.86
Vlade Divac	47	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	6	-1	14.4	14.7	-0.31	17.3	17.6	-0.31
Mike Bibby	47	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	6	-1	14.4	14.7	-0.31	17.3	17.6	-0.31
Keon Clark	43	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	5	1	14.7	14.4	0.31	17.6	17.3	0.31
Hedo Turkoglu	35	35	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	6	-1	13.5	15.2	-1.76	16.8	17.9	-1.09
Jim Jackson	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	8	-5	14.2	14.7	-0.51	18.2	16.9	1.24
Bobby Jackson	45	45	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	9	-7	14.8	14.3	0.49	17.3	17.6	-0.36
Chris Webber	46	46	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	13	-15	14.9	14.2	0.73	17.8	17.2	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.83,0.8,0.67,0.76,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.93,1,1,1	92.8%
SAS 79, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,1	92.7%
ATL 94, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.1%