NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	85		Excitement	4.1 [981]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +7.4%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	1.3 [1113]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -10.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calvin Booth	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	19	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joseph Forte	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	2	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	12	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	14	69%	0.08	7	-0.17	4	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.17	-0.01	-0.08	11	13%	-0.08	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	12	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	69%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	35%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	70%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	12	44%	-0.03	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	28.7	16.3	24.3	2.6	27.3	124.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +41.0%

SAC +7.1%

SAC +1.3%

SEA -0.5%

SAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAC	NBA	SEA	SAC	NBA
this game	17.5	13.3	15.5	91.4	113.8	101.6
season	16.5	14.0		101.7	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.8	15.0	19.7	18.4	17.5
SAC	12.2	11.7	14.0	15.9	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joseph Forte	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	-17	12	18.1	17.4	0.73	14.9	13.0	1.83
Vitaly Potapenko	15	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.23	-9	-13	4	18.1	17.4	0.72	14.9	13.0	1.90
Calvin Booth	21	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.17	-7	-15	8	18.4	17.3	1.16	15.9	12.6	3.30
Kevin Ollie	53	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-12	2	16.0	19.5	-3.46	14.1	12.1	2.04
Jerome James	20	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-17	12	14.0	18.5	-4.49	12.6	13.5	-0.94
Vladimir Radmanovic	52	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-11	0	15.8	19.7	-3.86	13.1	13.5	-0.39
Reggie Evans	58	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-18	14	18.1	16.5	1.62	13.2	13.5	-0.28
Predrag Drobnjak	52	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-12	2	18.5	16.3	2.25	12.6	14.2	-1.66
Ray Allen	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	-13	4	17.6	17.2	0.39	13.0	14.0	-0.92
Brent Barry	50	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	-6	-10	18.8	16.1	2.71	12.2	14.5	-2.33
Rashard Lewis	62	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.14	-24	2	-26	18.2	16.1	2.15	13.2	13.5	-0.32

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	64	64	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.21	25	-3	28	12.2	15.7	-3.58	17.8	16.9	0.87
Chris Webber	68	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	7	8	12.7	14.8	-2.09	18.2	15.7	2.45
Peja Stojakovic	54	55	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	12	-2	12.6	14.2	-1.57	18.2	16.5	1.74
Doug Christie	59	58	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	16	-10	13.5	13.0	0.47	18.1	16.7	1.39
Hedo Turkoglu	29	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	11	0	13.0	13.4	-0.48	16.4	18.0	-1.57
Bobby Jackson	57	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.12	10	12	-2	13.9	12.3	1.65	16.5	19.1	-2.58
Scot Pollard	26	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	15	-8	14.8	12.7	2.09	15.7	18.2	-2.45
Vlade Divac	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	16	-10	13.3	13.3	0.07	20.5	16.0	4.44
Jim Jackson	24	23	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	14	-6	13.1	13.4	-0.29	15.7	18.1	-2.49
Keon Clark	41	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	16	-10	13.9	12.8	1.03	15.9	18.8	-2.90
Gerald Wallace	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	16.5	13.0	3.50	18.7	17.4	1.34
Lawrence Funderburke	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	16.5	13.0	3.50	18.7	17.4	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 112, PHI 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.6%
TOR 75, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
TOR 86, NJN 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%